BTGO

BitGo Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score BTGO yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

BTGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

BTGO's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BTGO.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

BTGO PE Valuation

BTGO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

BTGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BTGO's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over BTGO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BTGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.09 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BTGO and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BTGO and MS's risk to reward.

BTGO Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $0.84Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.75Q2 2026: $-0.92Q3 2026: $-0.61
Q2 2025: $0.84Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.75Q2 2026: $-0.92Q3 2026: $-0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.61-164%
Q2 2026-$0.92-210%

BTGO has swung to a loss: it lost $0.61 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over BTGO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

BTGO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2024: $818MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q3 2024: $818MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B-51%
Q2 2026$4.3B+107%
Q1 2026$3.8B+80%
Q4 2025$6.2B+440%
Q3 2025$5.8B+610%

BTGO's revenue is growing: $2.9B last quarter, down 51% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BTGO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2024: $469,000Q4 2024: $944,000Q1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: −$517,000Q3 2026: −$21M
Q3 2024: $469,000Q4 2024: $944,000Q1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: −$517,000Q3 2026: −$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20.7M-319%
Q2 2026-$517K+$18.2M
Q1 2026-$35.7M-742%
Q4 2025$19.4M+1956%
Q3 2025$9.5M+1920%

BTGO has the edge over MS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BTGO Total Shares

Q3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 98MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 120M
Q3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 98MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 120M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+12%+13M shares
1 year+4.2%+4.8M shares

BTGO has 120M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over BTGO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BTGO Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -12.7x
Q2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -12.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-12.7xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low

BTGO has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BTGO.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BTGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.9Oversold
Stochastic11.2Oversold

BTGO's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

BTGO PE vs Financial Services Sector

BTGO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BTGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.9832% below
20 week MA$5.9832% below

MS has stronger trend alignment. BTGO is above 0 of 2 weekly averages versus MS above 3 of 5.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

BTGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$14.5$4.09-72%

It's down 72% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over BTGO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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