BRSP

BrightSpire Capital, Inc.

49
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BRSP's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 6 points to 27%, while revenue grew only 2.5%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

BRSP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BRSP's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like BRSP.

BRSP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE67x135x202x270x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE67x135x202x270x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.3x$3.12—
Cheap7.9x$1.11-64%
Current22x$3.12—
Fair32x$4.43+42%
Expensive228x$31.95+924%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BRSP's PE is 22x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BRSP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BRSP's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BRSP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$3.57
Downside-12%$2.74

Calculated from the latest close: $3.12 on Nov 12.

BRSP's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +14% against −12%.

BRSP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.54Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-1.01Q4 2024: $-1.05Q1 2025: $-0.56Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.26Q1 2026: $-0.27Q2 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.59
Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.54Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-1.01Q4 2024: $-1.05Q1 2025: $-0.56Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.26Q1 2026: $-0.27Q2 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.59+318%
Q3 2026$0.14+$0.45
Q2 2026-$0.23-$0.01
Q1 2026-$0.27+$0.29
Q4 2025-$0.26+$0.79
Q3 2025-$0.31+$0.70
Q2 2025-$0.22+$0.79
Q1 2025-$0.56-$0.02
Q4 2024-$1.05-$0.93

BRSP has returned to profit: it earned $0.14 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

BRSP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $87M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $87M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$87.4M+4.1%
Q2 2026$83.5M-2.8%
Q1 2026$85.1M+9.8%
Q4 2025$83.2M-0.4%
Q3 2025$83.9M-4.8%
Q2 2025$85.9M-6%
Q1 2025$77.6M-19%
Q4 2024$83.5M-19%

BRSP's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $87M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BRSP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.7M-46%
Q2 2026$28.9M+150%
Q1 2026$9.3M+16%
Q4 2025$8.1M-66%
Q3 2025$27.4M-3%
Q2 2025$11.6M-50%
Q1 2025$8M-64%
Q4 2024$23.9M-32%

BRSP's free cash flow was $61M over the past year, down 14% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like BRSP.

BRSP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 128MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 123M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 128MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 123M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3%-3.8M shares
1 year-5.3%-6.9M shares
3 years-5.5%-7.1M shares
5 years-4.5%-5.8M shares
Available history-4.3%-5.5M shares

BRSP has 123M diluted shares, down 5.3% from a year ago.

BRSP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 12.8xQ1 2024: 17.0xQ2 2024: 31.6xQ3 2024: 33.9xQ4 2024: 36.7xQ1 2025: 18.9xQ2 2025: 15.7xQ3 2025: 18.7xQ4 2025: 22.8xQ1 2026: 24.0xQ2 2026: 20.9xQ3 2026: 21.3x
Q4 2023: 12.8xQ1 2024: 17.0xQ2 2024: 31.6xQ3 2024: 33.9xQ4 2024: 36.7xQ1 2025: 18.9xQ2 2025: 15.7xQ3 2025: 18.7xQ4 2025: 22.8xQ1 2026: 24.0xQ2 2026: 20.9xQ3 2026: 21.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202621.3xHigh
Q2 202620.9xHigh
Q1 202624.0xHigh
Q4 202522.8xHigh
Q3 202518.7xHigh
Q2 202515.7xHigh
Q1 202518.9xHigh
Q4 202436.7xHigh

BRSP's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 19 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like BRSP.

BRSP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI12.2Oversold
Stochastic0.6Oversold

BRSP's weekly RSI is 12 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

BRSP PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricBRSPSector medianRelative
PE22x24x6.8% below
PE %462323 pts above

BRSP is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Real Estate sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

BRSP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.6214% below
20 week MA$4.4330% below
50 week MA$5.2340% below
100 week MA$5.3442% below
200 week MA$5.8747% below

BRSP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

BRSP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.2$7.63-42%
2021$7.63$9.75+28%
2022$9.75$6.75-31%
2023$6.75$7.44+10%
2024$7.44$5.83-22%
2025$5.83$5.85+0.3%
2026 YTD$5.85$3.12-47%

BRSP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 47% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key