BRSL
Brightstar Lottery
BRSL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over BRSL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BRSL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure |
BRSL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
BRSL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.6x | $9.54 | -1.5% |
| Current | 9.8x | $9.69 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $17.29 | +78% |
| Forward | 18x | $9.69 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $23.94 | +147% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BRSL has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BRSL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BRSL's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over BRSL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
BRSL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.54 | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.99 | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.52 | -64% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.45 | -74% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.20 | +97% |
| Q4 2022 | $1.35 | -42% |
| Q4 2021 | $2.33 | +$6.72 |
| Q4 2020 | -$4.39 | -$4.30 |
| Q4 2019 | -$0.09 | +$0.01 |
BRSL has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
BRSL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $584M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $587M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $668M | +2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $629M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $630M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $583M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $652M | -4.3% |
| Q4 2023 | $681M | -84% |
BRSL has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 21% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 19% | -3.1 points |
BRSL has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BRSL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -747% |
| Q1 2026 | $55M | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | -$270M | -203% |
| Q3 2025 | -$531.8M | -330% |
| Q2 2025 | $225.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $148M | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $261M | -25% |
| Q4 2023 | $348.9M | -40% |
BRSL's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$2.2B over the past year.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA has the edge over BRSL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BRSL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -17M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -20.8M shares |
BRSL has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $15M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $262.5M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BRSL spent $324M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
BRSL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.2x | High |
BRSL's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over BRSL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BRSL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.7 | Neutral |
BRSL's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
BRSL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BRSL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 18x | 46% below |
| PE % | 19 | 47 | 28 pts below |
BRSL has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BRSL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.73 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.5 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.2 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.3 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.7 | 51% below |
BRSL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over BRSL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BRSL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.0 | $16.3 | +9.1% |
| 2021 | $16.3 | $29.0 | +77% |
| 2022 | $29.0 | $22.5 | -22% |
| 2023 | $22.5 | $27.4 | +22% |
| 2024 | $27.4 | $17.1 | -38% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $15.7 | -7.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.7 | $9.69 | -38% |
BRSL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over BRSL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.