BRSL
Brightstar Lottery
BRSL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over BRSL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BRSL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure |
BRSL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BRSL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.6x | $9.54 | -1.5% |
| Current | 9.8x | $9.69 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $17.29 | +78% |
| Forward | 18x | $9.69 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $23.94 | +147% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BRSL's PE is in its cheap range at 9.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BRSL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BRSL's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over BRSL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
BRSL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.54 | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.99 | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.52 | -64% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.45 | -74% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.20 | +97% |
| Q4 2022 | $1.35 | -42% |
| Q4 2021 | $2.33 | +$6.72 |
| Q4 2020 | -$4.39 | -$4.30 |
| Q4 2019 | -$0.09 | +$0.01 |
BRSL has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
BRSL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $584M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $587M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $668M | +2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $629M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $630M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $583M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $652M | -4.3% |
| Q4 2023 | $681M | -84% |
BRSL's revenue fell from its 2016 peak and has held roughly level since: $584M last quarter, down 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 21% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 19% | -3.1 points |
BRSL has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over BRSL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
BRSL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -747% |
| Q1 2026 | $55M | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | -$270M | -203% |
| Q3 2025 | -$531.8M | -330% |
| Q2 2025 | $225.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $148M | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $261M | -25% |
| Q4 2023 | $348.9M | -40% |
BRSL's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$2.2B over the past year.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has the edge over BRSL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BRSL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -17M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -20.8M shares |
BRSL has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $15M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $262.5M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BRSL spent $324M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
BRSL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.2x | High |
BRSL's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BRSL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.7 | Neutral |
BRSL's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
BRSL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BRSL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 18x | 46% below |
| PE % | 19 | 47 | 28 pts below |
BRSL is trading at 9.8x earnings, a 46% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BRSL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.73 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.5 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.2 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.3 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.7 | 51% below |
BRSL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
BRSL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.0 | $16.3 | +9.1% |
| 2021 | $16.3 | $29.0 | +77% |
| 2022 | $29.0 | $22.5 | -22% |
| 2023 | $22.5 | $27.4 | +22% |
| 2024 | $27.4 | $17.1 | -38% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $15.7 | -7.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.7 | $9.69 | -38% |
BRSL has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.