BRSL
Brightstar Lottery
BRSL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over BRSL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BRSL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure |
BRSL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
BRSL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.6x | $9.54 | -1.5% |
| Current | 9.8x | $9.69 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $17.29 | +78% |
| Forward | 18x | $9.69 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $23.94 | +147% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BRSL's PE is in its cheap range at 9.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over BRSL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BRSL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BRSL's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BRSL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.54 | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.99 | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.52 | -64% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.45 | -74% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.20 | +97% |
| Q4 2022 | $1.35 | -42% |
| Q4 2021 | $2.33 | +$6.72 |
| Q4 2020 | -$4.39 | -$4.30 |
| Q4 2019 | -$0.09 | +$0.01 |
BRSL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.99 over the past year, against $2.33 in late 2021.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
BRSL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $584M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $587M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $668M | +2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $629M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $630M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $583M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $652M | -4.3% |
| Q4 2023 | $681M | -84% |
BRSL has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 21% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 19% | -3.1 points |
BRSL has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BRSL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -747% |
| Q1 2026 | $55M | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | -$270M | -203% |
| Q3 2025 | -$531.8M | -330% |
| Q2 2025 | $225.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $148M | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $261M | -25% |
| Q4 2023 | $348.9M | -40% |
BRSL's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$2.2B over the past year.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE has the edge over BRSL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BRSL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -17M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -20.8M shares |
BRSL has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $15M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $262.5M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BRSL spent $324M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
BRSL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.2x | High |
BRSL's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over BRSL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BRSL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.7 | Neutral |
BRSL's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
BRSL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BRSL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 18x | 46% below |
| PE % | 19 | 47 | 28 pts below |
BRSL has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BRSL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.73 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.5 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.2 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.3 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.7 | 51% below |
BRSL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over BRSL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BRSL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.0 | $16.3 | +9.1% |
| 2021 | $16.3 | $29.0 | +77% |
| 2022 | $29.0 | $22.5 | -22% |
| 2023 | $22.5 | $27.4 | +22% |
| 2024 | $27.4 | $17.1 | -38% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $15.7 | -7.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.7 | $9.69 | -38% |
BRSL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over BRSL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.