BRSL
Brightstar Lottery
BRSL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over BRSL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BRSL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure |
BRSL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BRSL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.6x | $9.54 | -1.5% |
| Current | 9.8x | $9.69 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $17.29 | +78% |
| Forward | 18x | $9.69 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $23.94 | +147% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BRSL's PE is in its cheap range at 9.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BRSL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BRSL's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over BRSL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
BRSL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.54 | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.99 | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.52 | -64% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.45 | -74% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.20 | +97% |
| Q4 2022 | $1.35 | -42% |
| Q4 2021 | $2.33 | +$6.72 |
| Q4 2020 | -$4.39 | -$4.30 |
| Q4 2019 | -$0.09 | +$0.01 |
BRSL has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BRSL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $584M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $587M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $668M | +2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $629M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $630M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $583M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $652M | -4.3% |
| Q4 2023 | $681M | -84% |
BRSL has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 21% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 19% | -3.1 points |
BRSL has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BRSL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -747% |
| Q1 2026 | $55M | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | -$270M | -203% |
| Q3 2025 | -$531.8M | -330% |
| Q2 2025 | $225.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $148M | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $261M | -25% |
| Q4 2023 | $348.9M | -40% |
BRSL's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$2.2B over the past year.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over BRSL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BRSL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -17M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -20.8M shares |
BRSL has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $15M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $262.5M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BRSL spent $324M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
BRSL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.2x | High |
BRSL's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over BRSL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BRSL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.7 | Neutral |
BRSL's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
BRSL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BRSL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 18x | 46% below |
| PE % | 19 | 47 | 28 pts below |
BRSL is trading at 9.8x earnings, a 46% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BRSL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.73 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.5 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.2 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.3 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.7 | 51% below |
BRSL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
BRSL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.0 | $16.3 | +9.1% |
| 2021 | $16.3 | $29.0 | +77% |
| 2022 | $29.0 | $22.5 | -22% |
| 2023 | $22.5 | $27.4 | +22% |
| 2024 | $27.4 | $17.1 | -38% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $15.7 | -7.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.7 | $9.69 | -38% |
BRSL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over BRSL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.