BROS

Dutch Bros Inc.

71
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential89/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BROS has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BROS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BROS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BROS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE866x1732x2597x3463x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE866x1732x2597x3463x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward31x$33.71—
Current43x$33.71—
Cheap88x$68.51+103%
Fair162x$126+275%
Expensive567x$442+1213%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BROS has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BROS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BROS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BROS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$74.87
Downside-15%$28.55

Calculated from the latest close: $33.71 on Nov 12.

BROS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails BROS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BROS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.18Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.34Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.64Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.78Forward: $1.10
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.18Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.34Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.64Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.78Forward: $1.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.10+41%
Q3 2026$0.78+56%
Q2 2026$0.72+53%
Q1 2026$0.64+64%
Q4 2025$0.64+88%
Q3 2025$0.50+72%
Q2 2025$0.47+88%
Q1 2025$0.39+117%
Q4 2024$0.34+1033%

BROS has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

BROS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $254MQ1 2024: $275MQ2 2024: $325MQ3 2024: $338MQ4 2024: $343MQ1 2025: $355MQ2 2025: $416MQ3 2025: $424MQ4 2025: $444MQ1 2026: $464MQ2 2026: $551MQ3 2026: $550M
Q4 2023: $254MQ1 2024: $275MQ2 2024: $325MQ3 2024: $338MQ4 2024: $343MQ1 2025: $355MQ2 2025: $416MQ3 2025: $424MQ4 2025: $444MQ1 2026: $464MQ2 2026: $551MQ3 2026: $550M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$549.8M+30%
Q2 2026$550.9M+32%
Q1 2026$464.4M+31%
Q4 2025$443.6M+29%
Q3 2025$423.6M+25%
Q2 2025$415.8M+28%
Q1 2025$355.2M+29%
Q4 2024$342.8M+35%

BROS has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BROS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.8M-22%
Q2 2026$39.9M+12%
Q1 2026$27.7M+$36.4M
Q4 2025$8.5M-56%
Q3 2025$18.9M-28%
Q2 2025$35.7M+$40.6M
Q1 2025-$8.7M+$7.6M
Q4 2024$19.5M+$35.2M

BROS has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

BROS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 127MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 127MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+3.4M shares
1 year+8.5%+10.8M shares
3 years+141%+80.8M shares
5 years+195%+91.4M shares
Available history+181%+89.1M shares

BROS has 138M diluted shares, up 8.5% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over BROS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BROS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

BROS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over BROS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BROS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

BROS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BROS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBROSSector medianRelative
PE43x18x140% above
PE %05757 pts below

BROS has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BROS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.512% below
20 week MA$49.031% below
50 week MA$53.837% below
100 week MA$58.142% below
200 week MA$45.326% below

BROS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over BROS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BROS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$43.6$52.9+21%
2022$52.9$30.1-43%
2023$30.1$31.7+5.3%
2024$31.7$53.4+68%
2025$53.4$64.0+20%
2026 YTD$64.0$33.7-47%

BROS is down 47% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over BROS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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