BROS

Dutch Bros Inc.

71
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential89/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BROS has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BROS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BROS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BROS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE866x1732x2597x3463x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE866x1732x2597x3463x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward31x$33.71—
Current43x$33.71—
Cheap88x$68.51+103%
Fair162x$126+275%
Expensive567x$442+1213%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BROS's PE is in its cheap range at 43x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BROS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BROS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over BROS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BROS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$74.87
Downside-15%$28.55

Calculated from the latest close: $33.71 on Nov 12.

BROS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails BROS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BROS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.18Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.34Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.64Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.78Forward: $1.10
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.18Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.34Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.64Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.78Forward: $1.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.10+41%
Q3 2026$0.78+56%
Q2 2026$0.72+53%
Q1 2026$0.64+64%
Q4 2025$0.64+88%
Q3 2025$0.50+72%
Q2 2025$0.47+88%
Q1 2025$0.39+117%
Q4 2024$0.34+1033%

BROS has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

BROS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $254MQ1 2024: $275MQ2 2024: $325MQ3 2024: $338MQ4 2024: $343MQ1 2025: $355MQ2 2025: $416MQ3 2025: $424MQ4 2025: $444MQ1 2026: $464MQ2 2026: $551MQ3 2026: $550M
Q4 2023: $254MQ1 2024: $275MQ2 2024: $325MQ3 2024: $338MQ4 2024: $343MQ1 2025: $355MQ2 2025: $416MQ3 2025: $424MQ4 2025: $444MQ1 2026: $464MQ2 2026: $551MQ3 2026: $550M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$549.8M+30%
Q2 2026$550.9M+32%
Q1 2026$464.4M+31%
Q4 2025$443.6M+29%
Q3 2025$423.6M+25%
Q2 2025$415.8M+28%
Q1 2025$355.2M+29%
Q4 2024$342.8M+35%

BROS has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

BROS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.8M-22%
Q2 2026$39.9M+12%
Q1 2026$27.7M+$36.4M
Q4 2025$8.5M-56%
Q3 2025$18.9M-28%
Q2 2025$35.7M+$40.6M
Q1 2025-$8.7M+$7.6M
Q4 2024$19.5M+$35.2M

BROS has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

BROS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 127MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 127MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+3.4M shares
1 year+8.5%+10.8M shares
3 years+141%+80.8M shares
5 years+195%+91.4M shares
Available history+181%+89.1M shares

BROS has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

BROS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

BROS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BROS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

BROS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

BROS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBROSSector medianRelative
PE43x18x140% above
PE %05757 pts below

BROS is trading at 43x earnings, a 140% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BROS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.512% below
20 week MA$49.031% below
50 week MA$53.837% below
100 week MA$58.142% below
200 week MA$45.326% below

BROS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

BROS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$43.6$52.9+21%
2022$52.9$30.1-43%
2023$30.1$31.7+5.3%
2024$31.7$53.4+68%
2025$53.4$64.0+20%
2026 YTD$64.0$33.7-47%

BROS is down 47% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over BROS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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