BROS
Dutch Bros Inc.
BROS has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BROS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
BROS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BROS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 31x | $33.71 | — |
| Current | 43x | $33.71 | — |
| Cheap | 88x | $68.51 | +103% |
| Fair | 162x | $126 | +275% |
| Expensive | 567x | $442 | +1213% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BROS's PE is in its cheap range at 43x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BROS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BROS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over BROS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
BROS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.10 | +41% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.78 | +56% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.72 | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.64 | +64% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.64 | +88% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.50 | +72% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.47 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.39 | +117% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.34 | +1033% |
BROS has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
BROS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $549.8M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $550.9M | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $464.4M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $443.6M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $423.6M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $415.8M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $355.2M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $342.8M | +35% |
BROS has the edge over NIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.6% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.4% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7% | +3.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.8% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.8% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.6% | +3.7 points |
BROS has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BROS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14.8M | -22% |
| Q2 2026 | $39.9M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.7M | +$36.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $8.5M | -56% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.9M | -28% |
| Q2 2025 | $35.7M | +$40.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$8.7M | +$7.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $19.5M | +$35.2M |
BROS has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
BROS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.5% | +3.4M shares |
| 1 year | +8.5% | +10.8M shares |
| 3 years | +141% | +80.8M shares |
| 5 years | +195% | +91.4M shares |
| Available history | +181% | +89.1M shares |
BROS has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BROS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
BROS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BROS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.2 | Oversold |
BROS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BROS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BROS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 43x | 18x | 140% above |
| PE % | 0 | 57 | 57 pts below |
BROS is trading at 43x earnings, a 140% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BROS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.5 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $49.0 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $53.8 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.1 | 42% below |
| 200 week MA | $45.3 | 26% below |
BROS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
BROS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $43.6 | $52.9 | +21% |
| 2022 | $52.9 | $30.1 | -43% |
| 2023 | $30.1 | $31.7 | +5.3% |
| 2024 | $31.7 | $53.4 | +68% |
| 2025 | $53.4 | $64.0 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $64.0 | $33.7 | -47% |
BROS is down 47% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO has the edge over BROS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.