BRLT

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

BRLT has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BRLT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

BRLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BRLT PE Valuation

BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BRLT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BRLT to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BRLT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$1.82
Downside-30%$0.89

Calculated from the latest close: $1.27 on Nov 12.

BRLT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails BRLT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BRLT Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.27Forward: $0.08
Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.27Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08—
Q3 2026-$0.27-$0.24
Q2 2026-$0.30-$0.27
Q1 2026-$0.32-$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.25-933%
Q3 2025-$0.03-250%
Q2 2025-$0.03-160%
Q1 2025-$0.01-120%

BRLT lost $0.27 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over BRLT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BRLT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $113M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.8M+2.3%
Q2 2026$115.1M+5.7%
Q1 2026$99.5M+6%
Q4 2025$124.4M+4.1%
Q3 2025$110.3M+10%
Q2 2025$108.9M+3.3%
Q1 2025$93.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$119.5M-3.9%

BRLT has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BRLT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $674,000Q4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$3,000Q4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $674,000Q4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$3,000Q4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9M+$3.9M
Q2 2026$16.5M+109%
Q1 2026-$19.3M-$11.5M
Q4 2025$5.7M-52%
Q3 2025-$3K-100%
Q2 2025$7.9M+23%
Q1 2025-$7.9M-$1.5M
Q4 2024$11.9M+26%

BRLT has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

BRLT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+414K shares
1 year+581%+87.1M shares
3 years+5.4%+5.2M shares
5 years+6.6%+6.3M shares

BRLT has 102M diluted shares, up 581% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over BRLT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BRLT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.1xQ1 2024: -9.0xQ2 2024: -9.4xQ3 2024: -13.2xQ4 2024: -12.3xQ1 2025: -20.4xQ2 2025: -40.6xQ3 2025: -23.7xQ4 2025: -107.9x
Q4 2023: -11.1xQ1 2024: -9.0xQ2 2024: -9.4xQ3 2024: -13.2xQ4 2024: -12.3xQ1 2025: -20.4xQ2 2025: -40.6xQ3 2025: -23.7xQ4 2025: -107.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-107.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-23.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-40.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-20.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-12.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-13.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-9.4xNet Cash
Q1 2024-9.0xNet Cash

BRLT has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

BRLT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic61.6Neutral

BRLT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BRLT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBRLTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BRLT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.4512% below
20 week MA$1.345.2% below
50 week MA$1.419.9% below
100 week MA$1.6121% below
200 week MA$2.3345% below

BRLT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over BRLT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BRLT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$15.2$16.1+5.5%
2022$16.1$4.09-75%
2023$4.09$3.72-9%
2024$3.72$2.04-45%
2025$2.04$1.78-13%
2026 YTD$1.78$1.27-29%

BRLT has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over BRLT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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