BRLT
Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.
BRLT offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over BRLT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
BRLT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
BRLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
BRLT PE Valuation
BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
BRLT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BRLT has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BRLT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.08 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.27 | -$0.24 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.30 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | -$0.31 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.25 | -933% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.03 | -250% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.03 | -160% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.01 | -120% |
BRLT lost $0.27 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over BRLT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
BRLT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.8M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $115.1M | +5.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $99.5M | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $124.4M | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $110.3M | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $108.9M | +3.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $93.9M | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $119.5M | -3.9% |
BRLT has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.9% | -5.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0% | -2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.8% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2% | +1.1 points |
BRLT's operating margin was 1.7% last quarter, up 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over BRLT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BRLT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.9M | +$3.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $16.5M | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | -$19.3M | -$11.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $5.7M | -52% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3K | -100% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.9M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.9M | -$1.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $11.9M | +26% |
BRLT has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
BRLT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +414K shares |
| 1 year | +581% | +87.1M shares |
| 3 years | +5.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 5 years | +6.6% | +6.3M shares |
BRLT has 102M diluted shares, up 581% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $96,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $197,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $163,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $200,000 |
BRLT hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over BRLT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
BRLT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -107.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -23.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -40.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -20.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -12.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -13.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -9.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -9.0x | Net Cash |
BRLT has more cash than debt.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
BRLT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.6 | Neutral |
BRLT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
BRLT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BRLT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BRLT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.45 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.34 | 5.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.41 | 9.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.61 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.33 | 45% below |
BRLT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over BRLT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BRLT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $15.2 | $16.1 | +5.5% |
| 2022 | $16.1 | $4.09 | -75% |
| 2023 | $4.09 | $3.72 | -9% |
| 2024 | $3.72 | $2.04 | -45% |
| 2025 | $2.04 | $1.78 | -13% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.78 | $1.27 | -29% |
BRLT has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.