BRLT

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

BRLT offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has a slight edge over BRLT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BRLT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

BRLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BRLT PE Valuation

BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BRLT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BRLT to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over BRLT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BRLT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$1.82
Downside-30%$0.89

Calculated from the latest close: $1.27 on Nov 12.

BRLT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails BRLT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BRLT Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.27Forward: $0.08
Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.27Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08—
Q3 2026-$0.27-$0.24
Q2 2026-$0.30-$0.27
Q1 2026-$0.32-$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.25-933%
Q3 2025-$0.03-250%
Q2 2025-$0.03-160%
Q1 2025-$0.01-120%

BRLT lost $0.27 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO has the edge over BRLT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BRLT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $113M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.8M+2.3%
Q2 2026$115.1M+5.7%
Q1 2026$99.5M+6%
Q4 2025$124.4M+4.1%
Q3 2025$110.3M+10%
Q2 2025$108.9M+3.3%
Q1 2025$93.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$119.5M-3.9%

BRLT's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $113M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over BRLT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BRLT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $674,000Q4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$3,000Q4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $674,000Q4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$3,000Q4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9M+$3.9M
Q2 2026$16.5M+109%
Q1 2026-$19.3M-$11.5M
Q4 2025$5.7M-52%
Q3 2025-$3K-100%
Q2 2025$7.9M+23%
Q1 2025-$7.9M-$1.5M
Q4 2024$11.9M+26%

BRLT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

BRLT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+414K shares
1 year+581%+87.1M shares
3 years+5.4%+5.2M shares
5 years+6.6%+6.3M shares

BRLT has 102M diluted shares, up 581% from a year ago.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has the edge over BRLT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BRLT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.1xQ1 2024: -9.0xQ2 2024: -9.4xQ3 2024: -13.2xQ4 2024: -12.3xQ1 2025: -20.4xQ2 2025: -40.6xQ3 2025: -23.7xQ4 2025: -107.9x
Q4 2023: -11.1xQ1 2024: -9.0xQ2 2024: -9.4xQ3 2024: -13.2xQ4 2024: -12.3xQ1 2025: -20.4xQ2 2025: -40.6xQ3 2025: -23.7xQ4 2025: -107.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-107.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-23.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-40.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-20.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-12.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-13.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-9.4xNet Cash
Q1 2024-9.0xNet Cash

BRLT has more cash than debt.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BRLT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic61.6Neutral

BRLT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BRLT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBRLTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BRLT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.4512% below
20 week MA$1.345.2% below
50 week MA$1.419.9% below
100 week MA$1.6121% below
200 week MA$2.3345% below

BRLT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

BRLT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$15.2$16.1+5.5%
2022$16.1$4.09-75%
2023$4.09$3.72-9%
2024$3.72$2.04-45%
2025$2.04$1.78-13%
2026 YTD$1.78$1.27-29%

BRLT has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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