BRLT

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

BRLT has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BRLT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

BRLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BRLT PE Valuation

BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BRLT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BRLT to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BRLT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$1.82
Downside-30%$0.89

Calculated from the latest close: $1.27 on Nov 12.

BRLT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails BRLT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BRLT Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.27Forward: $0.08
Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.27Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08—
Q3 2026-$0.27-$0.24
Q2 2026-$0.30-$0.27
Q1 2026-$0.32-$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.25-933%
Q3 2025-$0.03-250%
Q2 2025-$0.03-160%
Q1 2025-$0.01-120%

BRLT lost $0.27 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has the edge over BRLT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BRLT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $113M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.8M+2.3%
Q2 2026$115.1M+5.7%
Q1 2026$99.5M+6%
Q4 2025$124.4M+4.1%
Q3 2025$110.3M+10%
Q2 2025$108.9M+3.3%
Q1 2025$93.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$119.5M-3.9%

BRLT has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BRLT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $674,000Q4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$3,000Q4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $674,000Q4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$3,000Q4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9M+$3.9M
Q2 2026$16.5M+109%
Q1 2026-$19.3M-$11.5M
Q4 2025$5.7M-52%
Q3 2025-$3K-100%
Q2 2025$7.9M+23%
Q1 2025-$7.9M-$1.5M
Q4 2024$11.9M+26%

BRLT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over BRLT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BRLT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+414K shares
1 year+581%+87.1M shares
3 years+5.4%+5.2M shares
5 years+6.6%+6.3M shares

BRLT has 102M diluted shares, up 581% from a year ago.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over BRLT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BRLT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.1xQ1 2024: -9.0xQ2 2024: -9.4xQ3 2024: -13.2xQ4 2024: -12.3xQ1 2025: -20.4xQ2 2025: -40.6xQ3 2025: -23.7xQ4 2025: -107.9x
Q4 2023: -11.1xQ1 2024: -9.0xQ2 2024: -9.4xQ3 2024: -13.2xQ4 2024: -12.3xQ1 2025: -20.4xQ2 2025: -40.6xQ3 2025: -23.7xQ4 2025: -107.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-107.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-23.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-40.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-20.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-12.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-13.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-9.4xNet Cash
Q1 2024-9.0xNet Cash

BRLT has more cash than debt.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has more cash than debt.

BRLT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic61.6Neutral

BRLT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BRLT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBRLTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BRLT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.4512% below
20 week MA$1.345.2% below
50 week MA$1.419.9% below
100 week MA$1.6121% below
200 week MA$2.3345% below

BRLT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BRLT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$15.2$16.1+5.5%
2022$16.1$4.09-75%
2023$4.09$3.72-9%
2024$3.72$2.04-45%
2025$2.04$1.78-13%
2026 YTD$1.78$1.27-29%

BRLT has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over BRLT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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