BRLT

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

BRLT offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has a slight edge over BRLT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BRLT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

BRLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

BRLT PE Valuation

BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

BRLT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BRLT to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

BRLT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$1.82
Downside-30%$0.89

Calculated from the latest close: $1.27 on Nov 12.

BRLT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails BRLT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BRLT Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.27Forward: $0.08
Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.27Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08—
Q3 2026-$0.27-$0.24
Q2 2026-$0.30-$0.27
Q1 2026-$0.32-$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.25-933%
Q3 2025-$0.03-250%
Q2 2025-$0.03-160%
Q1 2025-$0.01-120%

BRLT lost $0.27 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over BRLT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BRLT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $113M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.8M+2.3%
Q2 2026$115.1M+5.7%
Q1 2026$99.5M+6%
Q4 2025$124.4M+4.1%
Q3 2025$110.3M+10%
Q2 2025$108.9M+3.3%
Q1 2025$93.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$119.5M-3.9%

BRLT's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $113M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over BRLT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BRLT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $674,000Q4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$3,000Q4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $674,000Q4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$3,000Q4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9M+$3.9M
Q2 2026$16.5M+109%
Q1 2026-$19.3M-$11.5M
Q4 2025$5.7M-52%
Q3 2025-$3K-100%
Q2 2025$7.9M+23%
Q1 2025-$7.9M-$1.5M
Q4 2024$11.9M+26%

BRLT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7M over the past year.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over BRLT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BRLT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+414K shares
1 year+581%+87.1M shares
3 years+5.4%+5.2M shares
5 years+6.6%+6.3M shares

BRLT has 102M diluted shares, up 581% from a year ago.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over BRLT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BRLT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.1xQ1 2024: -9.0xQ2 2024: -9.4xQ3 2024: -13.2xQ4 2024: -12.3xQ1 2025: -20.4xQ2 2025: -40.6xQ3 2025: -23.7xQ4 2025: -107.9x
Q4 2023: -11.1xQ1 2024: -9.0xQ2 2024: -9.4xQ3 2024: -13.2xQ4 2024: -12.3xQ1 2025: -20.4xQ2 2025: -40.6xQ3 2025: -23.7xQ4 2025: -107.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-107.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-23.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-40.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-20.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-12.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-13.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-9.4xNet Cash
Q1 2024-9.0xNet Cash

BRLT has more cash than debt.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

BRLT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic61.6Neutral

BRLT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

BRLT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBRLTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BRLT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.4512% below
20 week MA$1.345.2% below
50 week MA$1.419.9% below
100 week MA$1.6121% below
200 week MA$2.3345% below

BRLT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over BRLT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BRLT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$15.2$16.1+5.5%
2022$16.1$4.09-75%
2023$4.09$3.72-9%
2024$3.72$2.04-45%
2025$2.04$1.78-13%
2026 YTD$1.78$1.27-29%

BRLT has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over BRLT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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