BPOP
Popular, Inc.
BPOP offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has a slight edge over BPOP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
BPOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BPOP's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BPOP.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
BPOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.8x | $89.50 | -44% |
| Fair | 9x | $139 | -12% |
| Forward | 9.5x | $159 | — |
| Current | 10x | $159 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $188 | +19% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BPOP's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over BPOP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BPOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BPOP, with profitability improving.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
BPOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $16.75 | +8.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $15.47 | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.78 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.52 | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.30 | +44% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.30 | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.32 | +46% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.69 | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.56 | +14% |
BPOP has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
BPOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $874.6M | +7% |
| Q2 2026 | $874M | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $835.8M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $823.8M | +9.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $817.7M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $800M | +8.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $757.7M | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $755.5M | +7.5% |
BPOP's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $875M last quarter, up 7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 35% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 34% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +7.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | +16 points |
BPOP's operating margin was 31% last quarter, up 0.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over BPOP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over BPOP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BPOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $218.6M | +55% |
| Q2 2026 | $290M | +46% |
| Q1 2026 | $154.9M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $221.1M | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $141.1M | -20% |
| Q2 2025 | $198.3M | +409% |
| Q1 2025 | $120.5M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $139.2M | 0% |
BPOP has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
BPOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -778K shares |
| 1 year | -5.9% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -8.7M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -17.1M shares |
| Available history | -35% | -33.9M shares |
BPOP has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $119.7M |
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
BPOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BPOP has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
BPOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.8 | Oversold |
BPOP's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
BPOP PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BPOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 21% below |
| PE % | 58 | 63 | 5 pts below |
BPOP has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
BPOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $158.1 | 0.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $165.5 | 4.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $149.7 | 5.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.2 | 24% above |
| 200 week MA | $103.3 | 54% above |
BPOP has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
BPOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $58.7 | $56.0 | -4.6% |
| 2021 | $56.0 | $80.7 | +44% |
| 2022 | $80.7 | $65.0 | -19% |
| 2023 | $65.0 | $82.1 | +26% |
| 2024 | $82.1 | $94.8 | +15% |
| 2025 | $94.8 | $126.0 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $126.0 | $158.5 | +26% |
BPOP has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.