BPOP

Popular, Inc.

61
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BPOP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over BPOP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BPOP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BPOP's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BPOP.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BPOP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x7.9x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x7.9x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$89.50-44%
Fair9x$139-12%
Forward9.5x$159—
Current10x$159—
Expensive12x$188+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BPOP's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over BPOP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BPOP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BPOP has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BPOP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$185.99
Downside-14%$135.84

Calculated from the latest close: $158.50 on Nov 12.

BPOP trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BPOP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BPOP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.52Q1 2024: $6.73Q2 2024: $7.09Q3 2024: $7.35Q4 2024: $8.56Q1 2025: $9.69Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.30Q4 2025: $12.30Q1 2026: $13.52Q2 2026: $14.78Q3 2026: $15.47Forward: $16.75
Q4 2023: $7.52Q1 2024: $6.73Q2 2024: $7.09Q3 2024: $7.35Q4 2024: $8.56Q1 2025: $9.69Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.30Q4 2025: $12.30Q1 2026: $13.52Q2 2026: $14.78Q3 2026: $15.47Forward: $16.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.75+8.3%
Q3 2026$15.47+37%
Q2 2026$14.78+43%
Q1 2026$13.52+40%
Q4 2025$12.30+44%
Q3 2025$11.30+54%
Q2 2025$10.32+46%
Q1 2025$9.69+44%
Q4 2024$8.56+14%

BPOP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $15.47 over the past year, up 37% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BPOP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BPOP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $703MQ1 2024: $715MQ2 2024: $735MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $758MQ2 2025: $800MQ3 2025: $818MQ4 2025: $824MQ1 2026: $836MQ2 2026: $874MQ3 2026: $875M
Q4 2023: $703MQ1 2024: $715MQ2 2024: $735MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $758MQ2 2025: $800MQ3 2025: $818MQ4 2025: $824MQ1 2026: $836MQ2 2026: $874MQ3 2026: $875M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$874.6M+7%
Q2 2026$874M+9.2%
Q1 2026$835.8M+10%
Q4 2025$823.8M+9.1%
Q3 2025$817.7M+11%
Q2 2025$800M+8.9%
Q1 2025$757.7M+6%
Q4 2024$755.5M+7.5%

BPOP's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $875M last quarter, up 7% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BPOP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $108MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $176MQ4 2024: $139MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $141MQ4 2025: $221MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $290MQ3 2026: $219M
Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $108MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $176MQ4 2024: $139MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $141MQ4 2025: $221MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $290MQ3 2026: $219M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$218.6M+55%
Q2 2026$290M+46%
Q1 2026$154.9M+29%
Q4 2025$221.1M+59%
Q3 2025$141.1M-20%
Q2 2025$198.3M+409%
Q1 2025$120.5M+12%
Q4 2024$139.2M0%

BPOP has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BPOP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 63M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 63M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-778K shares
1 year-5.9%-4M shares
3 years-12%-8.7M shares
5 years-21%-17.1M shares
Available history-35%-33.9M shares

BPOP has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

BPOP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BPOP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BPOP.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over BPOP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BPOP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.2Neutral
Stochastic17.8Oversold

BPOP's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BPOP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBPOPSector medianRelative
PE10x13x21% below
PE %58635 pts below

BPOP has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

BPOP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$158.10.3% above
20 week MA$165.54.2% below
50 week MA$149.75.9% above
100 week MA$128.224% above
200 week MA$103.354% above

BPOP has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

BPOP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.7$56.0-4.6%
2021$56.0$80.7+44%
2022$80.7$65.0-19%
2023$65.0$82.1+26%
2024$82.1$94.8+15%
2025$94.8$126.0+33%
2026 YTD$126.0$158.5+26%

BPOP has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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