BP

BP p.l.c.

58
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BP's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 23x earnings, above its usual 15x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

BP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

BP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE105x210x315x419x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE105x210x315x419x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.2x$12.38-73%
Fair15x$29.30-36%
Current23x$45.82—
Expensive41x$82.11+79%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BP's PE is in its expensive range at 23x.

BP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BP's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$55.51
Downside-14%$39.45

Calculated from the latest close: $45.82 on Nov 12.

BP's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +21% against −14%.

BP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.46Q4 2023: $5.09Q1 2024: $3.19Q2 2024: $2.54Q3 2024: $0.96Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $1.18Q2 2026: $2.00
Q3 2023: $8.46Q4 2023: $5.09Q1 2024: $3.19Q2 2024: $2.54Q3 2024: $0.96Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $1.18Q2 2026: $2.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.00+852%
Q1 2026$1.18+$1.63
Q4 2025$0.00-100%
Q3 2025$0.58-40%
Q2 2025$0.21-92%
Q1 2025-$0.45-114%
Q4 2024$0.09-98%
Q3 2024$0.96-89%

BP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.00 over the past year, against $8.46 in late 2023.

BP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $53.3BQ4 2023: $52.1BQ1 2024: $48.9BQ2 2024: $47.3BQ3 2024: $47.3BQ4 2024: $45.8BQ1 2025: $46.9BQ2 2025: $46.6BQ3 2025: $48.4BQ4 2025: $47.4BQ1 2026: $52.3BQ2 2026: $70.1B
Q3 2023: $53.3BQ4 2023: $52.1BQ1 2024: $48.9BQ2 2024: $47.3BQ3 2024: $47.3BQ4 2024: $45.8BQ1 2025: $46.9BQ2 2025: $46.6BQ3 2025: $48.4BQ4 2025: $47.4BQ1 2026: $52.3BQ2 2026: $70.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$70.1B+50%
Q1 2026$52.3B+11%
Q4 2025$47.4B+3.6%
Q3 2025$48.4B+2.5%
Q2 2025$46.6B-1.4%
Q1 2025$46.9B-4%
Q4 2024$45.8B-12%
Q3 2024$47.3B-11%

BP's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $70.1B last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

BP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.3BQ4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: −$517MQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.1BQ1 2026: −$382MQ2 2026: $7.8B
Q3 2023: $5.3BQ4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: −$517MQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.1BQ1 2026: −$382MQ2 2026: $7.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$7.8B+156%
Q1 2026-$382M+$135M
Q4 2025$4.1B+17%
Q3 2025$4.6B+82%
Q2 2025$3B-35%
Q1 2025-$517M-140%
Q4 2024$3.5B-31%
Q3 2024$2.5B-52%

BP still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $16.1B over the past year.

BP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.9BQ4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.8BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.7BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6B
Q3 2023: 2.9BQ4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.8BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.7BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+870K shares
1 year-1.2%-31.2M shares
3 years-12%-372M shares
5 years-23%-783M shares
Available history-23%-784M shares

BP has 2.6B diluted shares, down 1.2% from a year ago.

BP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.9x
Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy
Q3 20241.1xHealthy

BP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

BP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic54.7Neutral

BP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

BP PE vs Energy Sector

MetricBPSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %70619 pts above

BP is trading at 23x earnings, a 75% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

BP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.22.9% below
20 week MA$44.52.9% above
50 week MA$42.18.8% above
100 week MA$37.223% above
200 week MA$36.526% above

BP's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 26% above its 200-week average.

BP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.9$21.1-44%
2021$21.1$27.0+28%
2022$27.0$35.0+30%
2023$35.0$35.4+1.1%
2024$35.4$29.0-18%
2025$29.0$34.3+18%
2026 YTD$34.3$45.8+34%

BP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 34% so far in 2026.

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