BOOT

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

BOOT has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BOOT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BOOT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BOOT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$108-19%
Forward15x$134—
Current16x$134—
Fair21x$174+30%
Expensive29x$240+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BOOT has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BOOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

BOOT has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BOOT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$198.63
Downside-19%$107.84

Calculated from the latest close: $133.67 on Nov 12.

BOOT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails BOOT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BOOT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.37Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.93Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $5.60Q1 2025: $5.88Q2 2025: $6.36Q3 2025: $6.78Q4 2025: $7.14Q1 2026: $7.35Q2 2026: $7.90Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $9.00
Q4 2023: $5.37Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.93Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $5.60Q1 2025: $5.88Q2 2025: $6.36Q3 2025: $6.78Q4 2025: $7.14Q1 2026: $7.35Q2 2026: $7.90Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $9.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.00+8.9%
Q3 2026$8.26+22%
Q2 2026$7.90+24%
Q1 2026$7.35+25%
Q4 2025$7.14+28%
Q3 2025$6.78+36%
Q2 2025$6.36+29%
Q1 2025$5.88+23%
Q4 2024$5.60+4.3%

BOOT has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

BOOT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $388MQ2 2024: $423MQ3 2024: $426MQ4 2024: $608MQ1 2025: $454MQ2 2025: $504MQ3 2025: $505MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $539MQ2 2026: $594MQ3 2026: $582M
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $388MQ2 2024: $423MQ3 2024: $426MQ4 2024: $608MQ1 2025: $454MQ2 2025: $504MQ3 2025: $505MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $539MQ2 2026: $594MQ3 2026: $582M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$581.8M+15%
Q2 2026$593.5M+18%
Q1 2026$538.8M+19%
Q4 2025$705.6M+16%
Q3 2025$505.4M+19%
Q2 2025$504.1M+19%
Q1 2025$453.7M+17%
Q4 2024$608.2M+17%

BOOT has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BOOT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$46MQ4 2024: $114MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $148MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$46MQ4 2024: $114MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $148MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.7M+$10.8M
Q2 2026$32.8M-23%
Q1 2026-$46.5M+$36.6M
Q4 2025$148M+30%
Q3 2025-$17.5M+$28.6M
Q2 2025$42.4M+198%
Q1 2025-$83.1M-$51.2M
Q4 2024$114.2M+67%

BOOT has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

BOOT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-189K shares
1 year-1.1%-338K shares
3 years-0.7%-215K shares
5 years+0.2%+56K shares
Available history+3.6%+1M shares

BOOT has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BOOT Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

BOOT has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over BOOT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BOOT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.9Neutral
Stochastic35.4Neutral

BOOT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BOOT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBOOTSector medianRelative
PE16x18x10% below
PE %344713 pts below

BOOT has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BOOT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$124.97.1% above
20 week MA$141.95.8% below
50 week MA$162.118% below
100 week MA$157.815% below
200 week MA$128.64% above

BOOT's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 4% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over BOOT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BOOT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.3$40.5-6.4%
2021$40.5$116.8+189%
2022$116.8$61.7-47%
2023$61.7$76.8+24%
2024$76.8$156.7+104%
2025$156.7$186.0+19%
2026 YTD$186.0$133.7-28%

BOOT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +189% in 2021 to −47% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over BOOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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