BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
BOOT has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
BOOT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
BOOT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BOOT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $108 | -19% |
| Forward | 15x | $134 | — |
| Current | 16x | $134 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $174 | +30% |
| Expensive | 29x | $240 | +80% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BOOT's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BOOT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BOOT, with profitability improving.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BOOT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.00 | +8.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.26 | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.90 | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.35 | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.14 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.78 | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.36 | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.88 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.60 | +4.3% |
BOOT has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
BOOT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $581.8M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $593.5M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $538.8M | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $705.6M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $505.4M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $504.1M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $453.7M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $608.2M | +17% |
BOOT's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $582M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +1.9 points |
BOOT has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
BOOT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.7M | +$10.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $32.8M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | -$46.5M | +$36.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $148M | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | -$17.5M | +$28.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $42.4M | +198% |
| Q1 2025 | -$83.1M | -$51.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $114.2M | +67% |
BOOT has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
BOOT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -189K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -338K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -215K shares |
| 5 years | +0.2% | +56K shares |
| Available history | +3.6% | +1M shares |
BOOT has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $25M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $12.5M |
BOOT spent $85M buying back its own shares over the past year.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
BOOT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
BOOT has more cash than debt.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BOOT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.4 | Neutral |
BOOT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
BOOT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BOOT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 10% below |
| PE % | 34 | 47 | 13 pts below |
BOOT is trading at 16x earnings, a 10% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BOOT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $124.9 | 7.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $141.9 | 5.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $162.1 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $157.8 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $128.6 | 4% above |
BOOT has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
BOOT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.3 | $40.5 | -6.4% |
| 2021 | $40.5 | $116.8 | +189% |
| 2022 | $116.8 | $61.7 | -47% |
| 2023 | $61.7 | $76.8 | +24% |
| 2024 | $76.8 | $156.7 | +104% |
| 2025 | $156.7 | $186.0 | +19% |
| 2026 YTD | $186.0 | $133.7 | -28% |
BOOT has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.