BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
BOOT has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BOOT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
BOOT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BOOT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $108 | -19% |
| Forward | 15x | $134 | — |
| Current | 16x | $134 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $174 | +30% |
| Expensive | 29x | $240 | +80% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BOOT's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BOOT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BOOT, with profitability improving.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
BOOT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.00 | +8.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.26 | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.90 | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.35 | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.14 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.78 | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.36 | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.88 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.60 | +4.3% |
BOOT has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
BOOT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $581.8M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $593.5M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $538.8M | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $705.6M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $505.4M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $504.1M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $453.7M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $608.2M | +17% |
BOOT's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $582M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +1.9 points |
BOOT has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BOOT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.7M | +$10.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $32.8M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | -$46.5M | +$36.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $148M | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | -$17.5M | +$28.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $42.4M | +198% |
| Q1 2025 | -$83.1M | -$51.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $114.2M | +67% |
BOOT has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
BOOT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -189K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -338K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -215K shares |
| 5 years | +0.2% | +56K shares |
| Available history | +3.6% | +1M shares |
BOOT has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $25M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $12.5M |
BOOT spent $85M buying back its own shares over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BOOT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
BOOT has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BOOT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.4 | Neutral |
BOOT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BOOT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BOOT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 10% below |
| PE % | 34 | 47 | 13 pts below |
BOOT is trading at 16x earnings, a 10% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BOOT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $124.9 | 7.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $141.9 | 5.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $162.1 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $157.8 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $128.6 | 4% above |
BOOT has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
BOOT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.3 | $40.5 | -6.4% |
| 2021 | $40.5 | $116.8 | +189% |
| 2022 | $116.8 | $61.7 | -47% |
| 2023 | $61.7 | $76.8 | +24% |
| 2024 | $76.8 | $156.7 | +104% |
| 2025 | $156.7 | $186.0 | +19% |
| 2026 YTD | $186.0 | $133.7 | -28% |
BOOT has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.