BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
BOOT has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
BOOT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
BOOT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BOOT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $108 | -19% |
| Forward | 15x | $134 | — |
| Current | 16x | $134 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $174 | +30% |
| Expensive | 29x | $240 | +80% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BOOT's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BOOT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BOOT, with profitability improving.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BOOT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.00 | +8.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.26 | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.90 | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.35 | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.14 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.78 | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.36 | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.88 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.60 | +4.3% |
BOOT has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
BOOT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $581.8M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $593.5M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $538.8M | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $705.6M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $505.4M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $504.1M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $453.7M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $608.2M | +17% |
BOOT's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $582M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +1.9 points |
BOOT has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over BOOT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
BOOT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.7M | +$10.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $32.8M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | -$46.5M | +$36.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $148M | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | -$17.5M | +$28.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $42.4M | +198% |
| Q1 2025 | -$83.1M | -$51.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $114.2M | +67% |
BOOT has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
BOOT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -189K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -338K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -215K shares |
| 5 years | +0.2% | +56K shares |
| Available history | +3.6% | +1M shares |
BOOT has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $25M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $12.5M |
BOOT spent $85M buying back its own shares over the past year.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
BOOT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
BOOT has more cash than debt.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BOOT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.4 | Neutral |
BOOT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BOOT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BOOT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 10% below |
| PE % | 34 | 47 | 13 pts below |
BOOT is trading at 16x earnings, a 10% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BOOT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $124.9 | 7.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $141.9 | 5.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $162.1 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $157.8 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $128.6 | 4% above |
BOOT has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
BOOT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.3 | $40.5 | -6.4% |
| 2021 | $40.5 | $116.8 | +189% |
| 2022 | $116.8 | $61.7 | -47% |
| 2023 | $61.7 | $76.8 | +24% |
| 2024 | $76.8 | $156.7 | +104% |
| 2025 | $156.7 | $186.0 | +19% |
| 2026 YTD | $186.0 | $133.7 | -28% |
BOOT has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.