BOOT

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

BOOT has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BOOT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BOOT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BOOT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$108-19%
Forward15x$134—
Current16x$134—
Fair21x$174+30%
Expensive29x$240+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BOOT's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BOOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

BOOT has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BOOT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$198.63
Downside-19%$107.84

Calculated from the latest close: $133.67 on Nov 12.

BOOT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails BOOT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BOOT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.37Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.93Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $5.60Q1 2025: $5.88Q2 2025: $6.36Q3 2025: $6.78Q4 2025: $7.14Q1 2026: $7.35Q2 2026: $7.90Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $9.00
Q4 2023: $5.37Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.93Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $5.60Q1 2025: $5.88Q2 2025: $6.36Q3 2025: $6.78Q4 2025: $7.14Q1 2026: $7.35Q2 2026: $7.90Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $9.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.00+8.9%
Q3 2026$8.26+22%
Q2 2026$7.90+24%
Q1 2026$7.35+25%
Q4 2025$7.14+28%
Q3 2025$6.78+36%
Q2 2025$6.36+29%
Q1 2025$5.88+23%
Q4 2024$5.60+4.3%

BOOT has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BOOT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $388MQ2 2024: $423MQ3 2024: $426MQ4 2024: $608MQ1 2025: $454MQ2 2025: $504MQ3 2025: $505MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $539MQ2 2026: $594MQ3 2026: $582M
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $388MQ2 2024: $423MQ3 2024: $426MQ4 2024: $608MQ1 2025: $454MQ2 2025: $504MQ3 2025: $505MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $539MQ2 2026: $594MQ3 2026: $582M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$581.8M+15%
Q2 2026$593.5M+18%
Q1 2026$538.8M+19%
Q4 2025$705.6M+16%
Q3 2025$505.4M+19%
Q2 2025$504.1M+19%
Q1 2025$453.7M+17%
Q4 2024$608.2M+17%

BOOT has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BOOT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$46MQ4 2024: $114MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $148MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$46MQ4 2024: $114MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $148MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.7M+$10.8M
Q2 2026$32.8M-23%
Q1 2026-$46.5M+$36.6M
Q4 2025$148M+30%
Q3 2025-$17.5M+$28.6M
Q2 2025$42.4M+198%
Q1 2025-$83.1M-$51.2M
Q4 2024$114.2M+67%

BOOT has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

BOOT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-189K shares
1 year-1.1%-338K shares
3 years-0.7%-215K shares
5 years+0.2%+56K shares
Available history+3.6%+1M shares

BOOT has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

BOOT Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

BOOT has more cash than debt.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over BOOT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BOOT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.9Neutral
Stochastic35.4Neutral

BOOT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BOOT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBOOTSector medianRelative
PE16x18x10% below
PE %344713 pts below

BOOT is trading at 16x earnings, a 10% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BOOT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$124.97.1% above
20 week MA$141.95.8% below
50 week MA$162.118% below
100 week MA$157.815% below
200 week MA$128.64% above

BOOT has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BOOT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.3$40.5-6.4%
2021$40.5$116.8+189%
2022$116.8$61.7-47%
2023$61.7$76.8+24%
2024$76.8$156.7+104%
2025$156.7$186.0+19%
2026 YTD$186.0$133.7-28%

BOOT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +189% in 2021 to −47% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over BOOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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