BOKF
BOK Financial Corporation
BOKF's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has a slight edge over BOKF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BOKF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BOKF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BOKF.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
BOKF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.5x | $105 | -19% |
| Fair | 12x | $132 | +1.2% |
| Current | 12x | $130 | — |
| Forward | 12x | $130 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $154 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BOKF has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
BOKF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect BOKF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over BOKF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
BOKF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.54 | -4.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.04 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.62 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.89 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.17 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.40 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.36 | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.71 | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.14 | +1.5% |
BOKF's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $11.04 over the past year, up 31% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over BOKF on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
BOKF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $561.4M | +2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $589.4M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $553.8M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $589.6M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $548.4M | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $535.3M | -3.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $502.3M | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $523.1M | +4.3% |
BOKF's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $561M last quarter, up 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 36% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 39% | +4.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +5.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +5.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | -4.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +11 points |
BOKF has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over BOKF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BOKF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $225.3M | -73% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +1668% |
| Q1 2026 | -$284.4M | -$256.4M |
| Q4 2025 | -$296.2M | -160% |
| Q3 2025 | $838.5M | +300% |
| Q2 2025 | $60.8M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | -$28M | -120% |
| Q4 2024 | $493.9M | +$992.6M |
BOKF has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
BOKF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +20.9K shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -5.4M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -8.3M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -10.7M shares |
BOKF has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $8.2M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $308.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $41M |
| Q2 2025 | $62.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $994,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $77,000 |
BOKF spent $317M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
BOKF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 5.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 4.4x | High |
BOKF has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
BOKF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.6 | Neutral |
BOKF's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
BOKF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BOKF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 9.4% below |
| PE % | 47 | 63 | 16 pts below |
BOKF has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
BOKF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $128.6 | 1.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $135.2 | 3.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $131.2 | 0.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $117.6 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $104.1 | 25% above |
BOKF's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 25% above its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
BOKF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $87.0 | $68.7 | -21% |
| 2021 | $68.7 | $103.8 | +51% |
| 2022 | $103.8 | $102.9 | -0.9% |
| 2023 | $102.9 | $85.7 | -17% |
| 2024 | $85.7 | $108.2 | +26% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $121.9 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $121.9 | $130.2 | +6.8% |
BOKF has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.