BNY

Bank of New York Mellon Corp

51
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BNY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over BNY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BNY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BNY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BNY.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BNY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$94.16-38%
Fair14x$126-18%
Expensive17x$151-1.1%
Current17x$153—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BNY's PE is in its expensive range at 17x.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over BNY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BNY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BNY to show an outlook.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BNY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$174.09
Downside-10%$137.55

Calculated from the latest close: $152.79 on Nov 12.

BNY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails BNY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BNY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.87Q1 2024: $4.00Q2 2024: $4.22Q3 2024: $4.50Q4 2024: $5.80Q1 2025: $6.13Q2 2025: $6.54Q3 2025: $6.92Q4 2025: $7.40Q1 2026: $8.06Q2 2026: $8.58Q3 2026: $9.04
Q4 2023: $3.87Q1 2024: $4.00Q2 2024: $4.22Q3 2024: $4.50Q4 2024: $5.80Q1 2025: $6.13Q2 2025: $6.54Q3 2025: $6.92Q4 2025: $7.40Q1 2026: $8.06Q2 2026: $8.58Q3 2026: $9.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.04+31%
Q2 2026$8.58+31%
Q1 2026$8.06+31%
Q4 2025$7.40+28%
Q3 2025$6.92+54%
Q2 2025$6.54+55%
Q1 2025$6.13+53%
Q4 2024$5.80+50%

BNY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $9.04 over the past year, up 31% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BNY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BNY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $4.8BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.7BQ3 2026: $5.7B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $4.8BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.7BQ3 2026: $5.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7B+12%
Q2 2026$5.7B+13%
Q1 2026$5.4B+13%
Q4 2025$5.2B+6.8%
Q3 2025$5.1B+9.3%
Q2 2025$5B+9.4%
Q1 2025$4.8B+5.9%
Q4 2024$4.8B+12%

BNY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $5.7B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BNY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.3BQ1 2024: −$3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: −$687MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $92MQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: −$1.5BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: −$3.6BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: −$2.3BQ1 2024: −$3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: −$687MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $92MQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: −$1.5BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: −$3.6BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.1B+$5.6B
Q2 2026$2B+7.5%
Q1 2026-$3.6B-4046%
Q4 2025$4.7B+318%
Q3 2025-$1.5B-$815M
Q2 2025$1.8B+5.2%
Q1 2025$92M+$3.1B
Q4 2024$1.1B+$3.5B

BNY has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BNY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 788MQ1 2024: 762MQ2 2024: 752MQ3 2024: 742MQ4 2024: 748MQ1 2025: 727MQ2 2025: 720MQ3 2025: 713MQ4 2025: 717MQ1 2026: 698MQ2 2026: 692MQ3 2026: 687M
Q4 2023: 788MQ1 2024: 762MQ2 2024: 752MQ3 2024: 742MQ4 2024: 748MQ1 2025: 727MQ2 2025: 720MQ3 2025: 713MQ4 2025: 717MQ1 2026: 698MQ2 2026: 692MQ3 2026: 687M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-5.3M shares
1 year-3.6%-25.9M shares
3 years-12%-94.9M shares
5 years-19%-162M shares
Available history-27%-256M shares

BNY has 687M diluted shares, down 3.6% from a year ago, with $4.1B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over BNY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BNY Net Leverage

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BNY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.9Neutral
Stochastic45.8Neutral

BNY's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BNY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBNYSector medianRelative
PE17x13x30% above
PE %856322 pts above

BNY is trading at 17x earnings, a 30% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over BNY on valuation relative to its sector.

BNY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$146.84.1% above
20 week MA$153.40.4% below
50 week MA$136.812% above
100 week MA$114.933% above
200 week MA$84.780% above

BNY has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

BNY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.3$41.0-18%
2021$41.0$58.1+42%
2022$58.1$44.7-23%
2023$44.7$52.1+17%
2024$52.1$77.6+49%
2025$77.6$117.5+51%
2026 YTD$117.5$152.8+30%

BNY has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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