BNED

Barnes & Noble Education, Inc.

55
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

BNED offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over BNED overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

BNED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

BNED's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BNED PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$11.71-7.8%
Current19x$12.70—
Fair20x$13.51+6.4%
Expensive26x$16.96+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BNED's PE is 19x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over BNED in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BNED Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BNED to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BNED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$20.05
Downside-37%$8.02

Calculated from the latest close: $12.70 on Nov 12.

BNED has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails BNED on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BNED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-186.00Q1 2024: $-156.00Q2 2025: $-5.94Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.31Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.66
Q4 2023: $-186.00Q1 2024: $-156.00Q2 2025: $-5.94Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.31Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.66-25%
Q2 2026$0.49+$6.43
Q1 2024-$156.00-$31.00
Q4 2023-$186.00-$38.00
Q3 2023-$190.00-$41.00
Q2 2023-$195.00-$61.00
Q1 2023-$125.00+$79.00
Q4 2022-$148.00+$81.00

BNED has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

BNED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $610MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $263MQ4 2024: $602MQ1 2025: $466MQ2 2025: $282MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: $515MQ2 2026: $267MQ3 2026: $291M
Q4 2023: $610MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $263MQ4 2024: $602MQ1 2025: $466MQ2 2025: $282MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: $515MQ2 2026: $267MQ3 2026: $291M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$290.6M+0.8%
Q2 2026$267.1M-5.2%
Q1 2026$515.1M+10%
Q4 2025$644.4M+7%
Q3 2025$288.2M+9.4%
Q2 2025$281.8M+19%
Q1 2025$466.3M+2.1%
Q4 2024$602.1M-1.4%

BNED has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BNED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: −$147MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: −$45MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: −$71MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$56M
Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: −$147MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: −$45MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: −$71MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$56.4M+$14.9M
Q2 2026$76.4M+54%
Q1 2026-$33.1M+$11.6M
Q4 2025$61.9M+40%
Q3 2025-$71.3M+$76.1M
Q2 2025$49.5M-37%
Q1 2025-$44.7M-$5.7M
Q4 2024$44.4M-35%

BNED has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

BNED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 528,700Q1 2024: 531,530Q3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 528,700Q1 2024: 531,530Q3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-82.4K shares
1 year+1.4%+478K shares
3 years+6464%+34M shares
5 years+6852%+34M shares
Available history+6982%+34M shares

BNED has 35M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over BNED on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BNED Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 38.2xQ2 2024: 10.0xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 6.8xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q1 2024: 38.2xQ2 2024: 10.0xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 6.8xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20256.8xHigh
Q1 202513.4xHigh
Q2 202410.0xHigh

BNED's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over BNED on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BNED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic62.1Neutral

BNED's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

BNED PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBNEDSector medianRelative
PE19x18x6.8% above

BNED is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over BNED on valuation relative to its sector.

BNED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.51.6% above
20 week MA$12.33.4% above
50 week MA$10.620% above
100 week MA$10.224% above
200 week MA$50.475% below

BNED has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

BNED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$417.0$508.0+22%
2021$508.0$669.0+32%
2022$669.0$159.0-76%
2023$159.0$149.0-6.3%
2024$149.0$10.3-93%
2025$10.3$9.65-6.2%
2026 YTD$9.65$12.7+32%

BNED has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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