BNED

Barnes & Noble Education, Inc.

55
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

BNED offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has a slight edge over BNED overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BNED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

BNED's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BNED PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$11.71-7.8%
Current19x$12.70—
Fair20x$13.51+6.4%
Expensive26x$16.96+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BNED's PE is 19x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BNED Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BNED to show an outlook.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

BNED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$20.05
Downside-37%$8.02

Calculated from the latest close: $12.70 on Nov 12.

BNED has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails BNED on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BNED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-186.00Q1 2024: $-156.00Q2 2025: $-5.94Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.31Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.66
Q4 2023: $-186.00Q1 2024: $-156.00Q2 2025: $-5.94Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.31Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.66-25%
Q2 2026$0.49+$6.43
Q1 2024-$156.00-$31.00
Q4 2023-$186.00-$38.00
Q3 2023-$190.00-$41.00
Q2 2023-$195.00-$61.00
Q1 2023-$125.00+$79.00
Q4 2022-$148.00+$81.00

BNED has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

BNED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $610MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $263MQ4 2024: $602MQ1 2025: $466MQ2 2025: $282MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: $515MQ2 2026: $267MQ3 2026: $291M
Q4 2023: $610MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $263MQ4 2024: $602MQ1 2025: $466MQ2 2025: $282MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: $515MQ2 2026: $267MQ3 2026: $291M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$290.6M+0.8%
Q2 2026$267.1M-5.2%
Q1 2026$515.1M+10%
Q4 2025$644.4M+7%
Q3 2025$288.2M+9.4%
Q2 2025$281.8M+19%
Q1 2025$466.3M+2.1%
Q4 2024$602.1M-1.4%

BNED's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $291M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over BNED on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BNED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: −$147MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: −$45MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: −$71MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$56M
Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: −$147MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: −$45MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: −$71MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$56.4M+$14.9M
Q2 2026$76.4M+54%
Q1 2026-$33.1M+$11.6M
Q4 2025$61.9M+40%
Q3 2025-$71.3M+$76.1M
Q2 2025$49.5M-37%
Q1 2025-$44.7M-$5.7M
Q4 2024$44.4M-35%

BNED has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

BNED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 528,700Q1 2024: 531,530Q3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 528,700Q1 2024: 531,530Q3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-82.4K shares
1 year+1.4%+478K shares
3 years+6464%+34M shares
5 years+6852%+34M shares
Available history+6982%+34M shares

BNED has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

BNED Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 38.2xQ2 2024: 10.0xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 6.8xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q1 2024: 38.2xQ2 2024: 10.0xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 6.8xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20256.8xHigh
Q1 202513.4xHigh
Q2 202410.0xHigh

BNED's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BNED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic62.1Neutral

BNED's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BNED PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBNEDSector medianRelative
PE19x18x6.8% above

BNED is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BNED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.51.6% above
20 week MA$12.33.4% above
50 week MA$10.620% above
100 week MA$10.224% above
200 week MA$50.475% below

BNED has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

BNED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$417.0$508.0+22%
2021$508.0$669.0+32%
2022$669.0$159.0-76%
2023$159.0$149.0-6.3%
2024$149.0$10.3-93%
2025$10.3$9.65-6.2%
2026 YTD$9.65$12.7+32%

BNED has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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