BMY

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

75
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

BMY has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BMY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

BMY's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

BMY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x82x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x82x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.7x$62.32—
Cheap14x$65.37+4.9%
Current14x$62.32—
Fair18x$83.24+34%
Expensive25x$114+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BMY has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BMY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BMY's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BMY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$78.77
Downside-11%$55.27

Calculated from the latest close: $62.32 on Nov 12.

BMY trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BMY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BMY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.86Q1 2024: $-3.10Q2 2024: $-3.26Q3 2024: $-3.59Q4 2024: $-4.41Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.49Q3 2025: $2.97Q4 2025: $3.46Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $4.55Q3 2026: $4.52Forward: $6.45
Q4 2023: $3.86Q1 2024: $-3.10Q2 2024: $-3.26Q3 2024: $-3.59Q4 2024: $-4.41Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.49Q3 2025: $2.97Q4 2025: $3.46Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $4.55Q3 2026: $4.52Forward: $6.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.45+43%
Q3 2026$4.52+52%
Q2 2026$4.55+83%
Q1 2026$3.57+33%
Q4 2025$3.46+$7.87
Q3 2025$2.97+$6.56
Q2 2025$2.49+$5.75
Q1 2025$2.68+$5.78
Q4 2024-$4.41-214%

BMY has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

BMY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.5BQ1 2024: $11.9BQ2 2024: $12.2BQ3 2024: $11.9BQ4 2024: $12.3BQ1 2025: $11.2BQ2 2025: $12.3BQ3 2025: $12.2BQ4 2025: $12.5BQ1 2026: $11.5BQ2 2026: $13BQ3 2026: $13.1B
Q4 2023: $11.5BQ1 2024: $11.9BQ2 2024: $12.2BQ3 2024: $11.9BQ4 2024: $12.3BQ1 2025: $11.2BQ2 2025: $12.3BQ3 2025: $12.2BQ4 2025: $12.5BQ1 2026: $11.5BQ2 2026: $13BQ3 2026: $13.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.1B+6.9%
Q2 2026$13B+5.7%
Q1 2026$11.5B+2.6%
Q4 2025$12.5B+1.3%
Q3 2025$12.2B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.3B+0.6%
Q1 2025$11.2B-5.6%
Q4 2024$12.3B+7.5%

BMY's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $13.1B last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over BMY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BMY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $757MQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $757MQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B-36%
Q2 2026$3.1B-13%
Q1 2026$757M-55%
Q4 2025$1.6B-61%
Q3 2025$6B+14%
Q2 2025$3.6B+72%
Q1 2025$1.7B-34%
Q4 2024$4.1B+3.5%

BMY's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $9.3B over the past year, down 39% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over BMY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BMY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2BQ4 2024: 2BQ1 2025: 2BQ2 2025: 2BQ3 2025: 2BQ4 2025: 2BQ1 2026: 2BQ2 2026: 2BQ3 2026: 2.1B
Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2BQ4 2024: 2BQ1 2025: 2BQ2 2025: 2BQ3 2025: 2BQ4 2025: 2BQ1 2026: 2BQ2 2026: 2BQ3 2026: 2.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5M shares
1 year+0.7%+14M shares
3 years-0.5%-11M shares
5 years-8.5%-190M shares
Available history-9.1%-205M shares

BMY has 2.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over BMY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BMY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 11.5xQ2 2024: 12.8xQ3 2024: 12.7xQ4 2024: 32.2xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 11.5xQ2 2024: 12.8xQ3 2024: 12.7xQ4 2024: 32.2xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 202432.2xHigh

BMY's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over BMY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BMY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.7Neutral
Stochastic49.4Neutral

BMY's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

BMY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBMYSector medianRelative
PE14x26x47% below
PE %122917 pts below

BMY has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

BMY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.41.5% above
20 week MA$62.50.4% below
50 week MA$59.44.9% above
100 week MA$54.913% above
200 week MA$55.413% above

BMY's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 13% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

BMY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.1$61.2-4.7%
2021$61.2$62.1+1.5%
2022$62.1$72.9+17%
2023$72.9$51.3-30%
2024$51.3$57.7+12%
2025$57.7$54.6-5.3%
2026 YTD$54.6$62.3+14%

BMY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 14% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over BMY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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