BMRN

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.

57
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

BMRN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over BMRN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BMRN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

BMRN's revenue is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BMRN PE Valuation

BMRN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BMRN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BMRN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

BMRN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$69.73
Downside-17%$46.99

Calculated from the latest close: $56.70 on Nov 12.

BMRN trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BMRN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BMRN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $1.06Q2 2024: $1.32Q3 2024: $1.66Q4 2024: $2.21Q1 2025: $2.70Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $2.67Q4 2025: $1.80Q1 2026: $1.39Q2 2026: $0.39Q3 2026: $-0.08Forward: $5.46
Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $1.06Q2 2024: $1.32Q3 2024: $1.66Q4 2024: $2.21Q1 2025: $2.70Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $2.67Q4 2025: $1.80Q1 2026: $1.39Q2 2026: $0.39Q3 2026: $-0.08Forward: $5.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.46—
Q3 2026-$0.08-103%
Q2 2026$0.39-88%
Q1 2026$1.39-49%
Q4 2025$1.80-19%
Q3 2025$2.67+61%
Q2 2025$3.38+156%
Q1 2025$2.70+155%
Q4 2024$2.21+154%

BMRN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.08 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over BMRN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BMRN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $646MQ1 2024: $649MQ2 2024: $712MQ3 2024: $746MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $745MQ2 2025: $825MQ3 2025: $776MQ4 2025: $875MQ1 2026: $766MQ2 2026: $990MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $646MQ1 2024: $649MQ2 2024: $712MQ3 2024: $746MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $745MQ2 2025: $825MQ3 2025: $776MQ4 2025: $875MQ1 2026: $766MQ2 2026: $990MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+32%
Q2 2026$989.7M+20%
Q1 2026$766.2M+2.8%
Q4 2025$874.6M+17%
Q3 2025$776.1M+4.1%
Q2 2025$825.4M+16%
Q1 2025$745.1M+15%
Q4 2024$747.3M+16%

BMRN's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over BMRN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BMRN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $166MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $340MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $160M
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $166MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $340MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $160M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$159.9M-53%
Q2 2026$139.3M-17%
Q1 2026$199.7M+27%
Q4 2025$58.9M-65%
Q3 2025$340.2M+68%
Q2 2025$168.2M+73%
Q1 2025$157.6M+655%
Q4 2024$166.1M+$167.5M

BMRN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $558M over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over BMRN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BMRN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 192MQ1 2024: 199MQ2 2024: 201MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 197MQ1 2025: 196MQ2 2025: 197MQ3 2025: 192MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 194MQ3 2026: 194M
Q4 2023: 192MQ1 2024: 199MQ2 2024: 201MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 197MQ1 2025: 196MQ2 2025: 197MQ3 2025: 192MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 194MQ3 2026: 194M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-877K shares
1 year+0.8%+1.6M shares
3 years+1.3%+2.4M shares
5 years+5.7%+10.4M shares
Available history+8.1%+14.6M shares

BMRN has 194M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over BMRN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BMRN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.6xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: 11.0xQ3 2026: 9.1x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.6xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: 11.0xQ3 2026: 9.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.1xHigh
Q2 202611.0xHigh
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash

BMRN's net debt is about 9.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over BMRN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BMRN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic24.3Neutral

BMRN's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

BMRN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBMRNSector medianRelative
PE150x26x480% above
PE %672938 pts above

BMRN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over BMRN on valuation relative to its sector.

BMRN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.80.1% below
20 week MA$60.56.3% below
50 week MA$58.22.6% below
100 week MA$59.03.9% below
200 week MA$73.122% below

BMRN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over BMRN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BMRN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.6$88.7+3.6%
2021$88.7$91.2+2.8%
2022$91.2$104.3+14%
2023$104.3$96.4-7.6%
2024$96.4$66.9-31%
2025$66.9$60.0-10%
2026 YTD$60.0$56.7-5.4%

BMRN has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 5.4% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over BMRN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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