BMRC

Bank of Marin Bancorp

77
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation86/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BMRC has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BMRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

BMRC's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BMRC.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

BMRC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.8x$28.52—
Cheap8.8x$37.00+30%
Forward11x$28.52—
Fair14x$57.55+102%
Expensive18x$75.08+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BMRC has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

BMRC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BMRC, with profitability improving.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over BMRC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

BMRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$37.61
Downside-12%$25.04

Calculated from the latest close: $28.52 on Nov 12.

BMRC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails BMRC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BMRC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $0.83Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.86Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.40Q2 2025: $0.43Q3 2025: $0.62Q4 2025: $2.73Q1 2026: $2.96Q2 2026: $4.07Q3 2026: $4.22Forward: $2.50
Q4 2023: $1.24Q1 2024: $0.83Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.86Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.40Q2 2025: $0.43Q3 2025: $0.62Q4 2025: $2.73Q1 2026: $2.96Q2 2026: $4.07Q3 2026: $4.22Forward: $2.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.50-41%
Q3 2026$4.22+581%
Q2 2026$4.07+847%
Q1 2026$2.96+$3.36
Q4 2025$2.73+$3.25
Q3 2025$0.62+$1.48
Q2 2025$0.43+$1.24
Q1 2025-$0.40-148%
Q4 2024-$0.52-142%

BMRC's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.22 over the past year, up from $0.62 the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over BMRC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BMRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$35.1M+13%
Q2 2026$34M+230%
Q1 2026$34.1M+23%
Q4 2025$79.3M+183%
Q3 2025$30.9M+14%
Q2 2025$10.3M+181%
Q1 2025$27.8M+9.3%
Q4 2024$28M+33%

BMRC has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BMRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $775,000Q1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $921,000Q2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $775,000Q1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $921,000Q2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16M+33%
Q2 2026$11.8M+68%
Q1 2026$921K-80%
Q4 2025$13.2M+25%
Q3 2025$12.1M+24%
Q2 2025$7.1M+111%
Q1 2025$4.6M+11%
Q4 2024$10.6M+1261%

BMRC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BMRC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+49K shares
1 year+0.7%+106K shares
3 years0%+4K shares
5 years+7%+1M shares
Available history+16%+2.2M shares

BMRC has 16M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over BMRC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BMRC Net Leverage

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BMRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.3Neutral
Stochastic61.9Neutral

BMRC's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BMRC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBMRCSector medianRelative
PE6.8x13x48% below
PE %66357 pts below

BMRC has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BMRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.63.2% above
20 week MA$27.92.1% above
50 week MA$26.96.1% above
100 week MA$25.113% above
200 week MA$22.626% above

BMRC has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

BMRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.0$36.5-21%
2021$36.5$36.6+0.4%
2022$36.6$33.0-9.9%
2023$33.0$22.0-33%
2024$22.0$23.5+6.8%
2025$23.5$26.6+13%
2026 YTD$26.6$28.5+7.3%

BMRC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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