BMO

Bank of Montreal

58
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

BMO has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BMO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BMO's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BMO.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

BMO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$75.31-56%
Fair13x$118-32%
Expensive17x$151-13%
Current19x$173—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BMO's PE is 19x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over BMO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BMO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BMO, with profitability improving.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

BMO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$195.24
Downside-11%$153.81

Calculated from the latest close: $172.93 on Nov 12.

BMO trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BMO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BMO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $7.04Q4 2023: $3.92Q1 2024: $5.04Q2 2024: $5.81Q3 2024: $6.07Q4 2024: $6.69Q1 2025: $7.47Q2 2025: $7.57Q3 2025: $8.04Q4 2025: $8.03Q1 2026: $8.42Q2 2026: $9.12
Q3 2023: $7.04Q4 2023: $3.92Q1 2024: $5.04Q2 2024: $5.81Q3 2024: $6.07Q4 2024: $6.69Q1 2025: $7.47Q2 2025: $7.57Q3 2025: $8.04Q4 2025: $8.03Q1 2026: $8.42Q2 2026: $9.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$9.12+20%
Q1 2026$8.42+13%
Q4 2025$8.03+20%
Q3 2025$8.04+32%
Q2 2025$7.57+30%
Q1 2025$7.47+48%
Q4 2024$6.69+71%
Q3 2024$6.07-14%

BMO has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 20% for BMO versus JPM up 18%.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

BMO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $12.6BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13.2BQ2 2024: $13.8BQ3 2024: $14.4BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $14.4BQ2 2025: $13.5BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $13.6B
Q3 2023: $12.6BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13.2BQ2 2024: $13.8BQ3 2024: $14.4BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $14.4BQ2 2025: $13.5BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $13.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$13.6B+0.2%
Q1 2026$13.6B-5.5%
Q4 2025$13.6B-2.4%
Q3 2025$13.5B-6.2%
Q2 2025$13.5B-1.7%
Q1 2025$14.4B+8.8%
Q4 2024$13.9B+4%
Q3 2024$14.4B+14%

JPM has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 0.2% for BMO versus up 8.1% for JPM.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BMO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $7.2BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $11BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: −$2.6BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $8.6BQ1 2026: $996MQ2 2026: $6.1B
Q3 2023: $7.2BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $11BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: −$2.6BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $8.6BQ1 2026: $996MQ2 2026: $6.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.1B+$8.6B
Q1 2026$995.5M-68%
Q4 2025$8.6B+187%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-386%
Q2 2025-$2.6B-199%
Q1 2025$3.2B-71%
Q4 2024$3B+42%
Q3 2024$1.1B-84%

BMO has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 25% versus its history, compared with JPM at down 229%.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BMO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 716MQ4 2023: 720MQ1 2024: 725MQ2 2024: 729MQ3 2024: 730MQ4 2024: 729MQ1 2025: 729MQ2 2025: 726MQ3 2025: 721MQ4 2025: 723MQ1 2026: 710MQ2 2026: 710M
Q3 2023: 716MQ4 2023: 720MQ1 2024: 725MQ2 2024: 729MQ3 2024: 730MQ4 2024: 729MQ1 2025: 729MQ2 2025: 726MQ3 2025: 721MQ4 2025: 723MQ1 2026: 710MQ2 2026: 710M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-2.2%-16.3M shares
3 years-0.4%-2.6M shares
5 years+9.6%+62.1M shares
Available history+11%+69.7M shares

BMO has 710M diluted shares, down 2.2% from a year ago, with $4B in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over BMO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BMO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 21.5xQ4 2023: 34.0xQ1 2024: 29.2xQ2 2024: 28.1xQ3 2024: 27.6xQ4 2024: 26.2xQ1 2025: 24.7xQ2 2025: 25.0xQ3 2025: 24.2xQ4 2025: 25.1xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 6.6x
Q3 2023: 21.5xQ4 2023: 34.0xQ1 2024: 29.2xQ2 2024: 28.1xQ3 2024: 27.6xQ4 2024: 26.2xQ1 2025: 24.7xQ2 2025: 25.0xQ3 2025: 24.2xQ4 2025: 25.1xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 202525.1xHigh
Q3 202524.2xHigh
Q2 202525.0xHigh
Q1 202524.7xHigh
Q4 202426.2xHigh
Q3 202427.6xHigh

BMO's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BMO.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BMO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.6Neutral
Stochastic44.0Neutral

BMO's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BMO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBMOSector medianRelative
PE19x13x46% above
PE %946331 pts above

BMO is trading at 19x earnings, a 46% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over BMO on valuation relative to its sector.

BMO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.02.3% above
20 week MA$174.10.7% below
50 week MA$156.810% above
100 week MA$132.930% above
200 week MA$111.455% above

BMO's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 55% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

BMO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$75.9-1.7%
2021$75.9$105.9+40%
2022$105.9$90.3-15%
2023$90.3$98.9+9.6%
2024$98.9$97.1-1.9%
2025$97.1$130.9+35%
2026 YTD$130.9$172.9+32%

BMO has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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