BMBL
Bumble Inc.
BMBL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over BMBL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BMBL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
BMBL's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BMBL PE Valuation
BMBL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
BMBL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BMBL's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
MSFT has the edge over BMBL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
BMBL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.63 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.26 | -$2.36 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.13 | +$3.21 |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.74 | -$1.07 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.95 | -$1.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.90 | +$2.99 |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.34 | -2259% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.67 | -2847% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.61 | -$4.58 |
BMBL is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $4.26 per share over the past year, against $7.34 at its worst in mid-2025.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over BMBL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
BMBL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $207.1M | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $210.5M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $212.4M | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $224.2M | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $246.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2025 | $248.2M | -7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $247.1M | -7.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $261.6M | -4.4% |
BMBL's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $207M last quarter, down 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 26% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -53% | +83 points |
| Q1 2026 | 31% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | -257% | -271 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +332 points |
| Q2 2025 | -136% | -156 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +17 points |
BMBL's operating margin was 26% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over BMBL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over BMBL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BMBL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $56M | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $53.6M | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | $77.2M | +79% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.1M | +$64.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $76.8M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $71.2M | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.2M | +1687% |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.4M | -109% |
BMBL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
BMBL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +1.4M shares |
| 1 year | +28% | +28.9M shares |
| 3 years | +0.4% | +497K shares |
| 5 years | +19% | +20.7M shares |
BMBL has 132M diluted shares, up 28% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $28.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $40.3M |
BMBL hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over BMBL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
BMBL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2022 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2022 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2022 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2020 | 9.0x | High |
| Q3 2020 | 4.2x | High |
BMBL's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
BMBL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 77.0 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 99.3 | Overbought |
BMBL's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 99 (overbought).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
BMBL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | BMBL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
BMBL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
BMBL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.70 | 28% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.61 | 66% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.47 | 73% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.71 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $9.16 | 34% below |
BMBL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 34% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
BMBL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $75.5 | $34.9 | -54% |
| 2022 | $34.9 | $20.9 | -40% |
| 2023 | $20.9 | $14.7 | -30% |
| 2024 | $14.7 | $8.02 | -46% |
| 2025 | $8.02 | $3.52 | -56% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.52 | $6.01 | +71% |
BMBL has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.