BLZE

Backblaze, Inc.

67
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential53/ 100

BLZE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over BLZE overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

BLZE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Strong

BLZE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BLZE PE Valuation

BLZE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

BLZE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BLZE has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

BLZE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+117%$19.05
Downside-53%$4.11

Calculated from the latest close: $8.79 on Nov 12.

BLZE trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLZE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLZE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.66Q1 2024: $-1.43Q2 2024: $-1.27Q3 2024: $-1.12Q4 2024: $-1.11Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.89Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.34Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.31
Q4 2023: $-1.66Q1 2024: $-1.43Q2 2024: $-1.27Q3 2024: $-1.12Q4 2024: $-1.11Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.89Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.34Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.31—
Q3 2026-$0.31+$0.36
Q2 2026-$0.34+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.39+$0.62
Q4 2025-$0.46+$0.65
Q3 2025-$0.67+$0.45
Q2 2025-$0.89+$0.38
Q1 2025-$1.01+$0.42
Q4 2024-$1.11+$0.55

BLZE is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in late 2023.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over BLZE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BLZE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$46.7M+26%
Q2 2026$42.7M+18%
Q1 2026$38.7M+12%
Q4 2025$37.8M+12%
Q3 2025$37.2M+14%
Q2 2025$36.3M+16%
Q1 2025$34.6M+15%
Q4 2024$33.8M+18%

BLZE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $47M last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over BLZE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BLZE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.1M+134%
Q2 2026$9.6M+249%
Q1 2026$2.7M-39%
Q4 2025$9M+543%
Q3 2025$2.6M-41%
Q2 2025$2.8M+41%
Q1 2025$4.4M+48%
Q4 2024$1.4M-50%

BLZE has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

BLZE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 63M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 63M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+1.7M shares
1 year+9.8%+5.6M shares
3 years+71%+25.9M shares
5 years+230%+43.6M shares
Available history+236%+43.9M shares

BLZE has 63M diluted shares, up 9.8% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over BLZE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLZE Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -14.8xQ1 2026: -5.8xQ2 2026: -3.8xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2025: -14.8xQ1 2026: -5.8xQ2 2026: -3.8xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-14.8xNet Cash
Q3 2021-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 20214.0xHigh
Q1 20210.8xVery low
Q4 20202.9xModerate

BLZE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over BLZE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLZE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic8.5Oversold

BLZE's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BLZE PE vs Technology Sector

BLZE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BLZE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.214% below
20 week MA$13.033% below
50 week MA$8.483.7% above
100 week MA$7.4718% above
200 week MA$7.0026% above

BLZE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 26% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over BLZE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BLZE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$22.0$18.7-15%
2022$18.7$5.67-70%
2023$5.67$7.59+34%
2024$7.59$6.23-18%
2025$6.23$4.84-22%
2026 YTD$4.84$8.79+82%

BLZE has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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