BLKB

Blackbaud, Inc.

74
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

BLKB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over BLKB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

BLKB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

BLKB's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

BLKB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE676x1351x2027x2702x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE676x1351x2027x2702x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.3x$53.56—
Cheap17x$54.16+1.1%
Current17x$53.56—
Fair142x$460+758%
Expensive477x$1,540+2774%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLKB's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.3x next year's earnings.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over BLKB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLKB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

BLKB has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

BLKB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$66.32
Downside-22%$41.88

Calculated from the latest close: $53.56 on Nov 12.

BLKB trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLKB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLKB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.79Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $-5.60Q1 2025: $-5.60Q2 2025: $-5.48Q3 2025: $-4.90Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.94Q2 2026: $3.19Q3 2026: $3.23Forward: $5.79
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.79Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $-5.60Q1 2025: $-5.60Q2 2025: $-5.48Q3 2025: $-4.90Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.94Q2 2026: $3.19Q3 2026: $3.23Forward: $5.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.79+79%
Q3 2026$3.23+$8.13
Q2 2026$3.19+$8.67
Q1 2026$2.94+$8.54
Q4 2025$2.37+$7.97
Q3 2025-$4.90-580%
Q2 2025-$5.48-794%
Q1 2025-$5.60-1466%
Q4 2024-$5.60-18767%

BLKB has returned to profit: it earned $3.23 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over BLKB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLKB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $295MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $302MQ1 2025: $271MQ2 2025: $281MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $291MQ3 2026: $293M
Q4 2023: $295MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $302MQ1 2025: $271MQ2 2025: $281MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $291MQ3 2026: $293M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$292.6M+4.1%
Q2 2026$290.6M+3.3%
Q1 2026$281.1M+3.9%
Q4 2025$295.3M-2.3%
Q3 2025$281.1M-1.9%
Q2 2025$281.4M-2.1%
Q1 2025$270.7M-3.1%
Q4 2024$302.2M+2.4%

BLKB's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $293M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over BLKB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLKB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $700,000Q2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $139M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $700,000Q2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $139M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$138.5M+2%
Q2 2026$88.6M+34%
Q1 2026$49.8M+7013%
Q4 2025$55M-25%
Q3 2025$135.7M+32%
Q2 2025$66.3M+38%
Q1 2025$700K-99%
Q4 2024$73.4M+$77.2M

BLKB generated $332M in free cash flow over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over BLKB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLKB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+77.3K shares
1 year-7.3%-3.5M shares
3 years-17%-9.1M shares
5 years-6.9%-3.3M shares
Available history-6.9%-3.4M shares

BLKB has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

BLKB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20243.9xElevated
Q2 20244.4xHigh
Q1 20245.7xHigh
Q4 20234.9xHigh

BLKB's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over BLKB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLKB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.8Neutral
Stochastic79.9Neutral

BLKB's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

BLKB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBLKBSector medianRelative
PE17x28x40% below
PE %163519 pts below

BLKB has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BLKB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.97.4% above
20 week MA$44.520% above
50 week MA$44.520% above
100 week MA$55.22.9% below
200 week MA$64.917% below

BLKB has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

BLKB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$78.6$58.9-25%
2021$58.9$81.6+39%
2022$81.6$58.3-29%
2023$58.3$86.7+49%
2024$86.7$74.9-14%
2025$74.9$64.2-14%
2026 YTD$64.2$53.6-17%

BLKB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over BLKB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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