BLKB

Blackbaud, Inc.

74
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

BLKB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has a slight edge over BLKB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BLKB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

BLKB's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BLKB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE676x1351x2027x2702x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE676x1351x2027x2702x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.3x$53.56—
Cheap17x$54.16+1.1%
Current17x$53.56—
Fair142x$460+758%
Expensive477x$1,540+2774%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLKB's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.3x next year's earnings.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over BLKB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLKB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

BLKB has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

BLKB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$66.32
Downside-22%$41.88

Calculated from the latest close: $53.56 on Nov 12.

BLKB trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLKB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLKB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.79Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $-5.60Q1 2025: $-5.60Q2 2025: $-5.48Q3 2025: $-4.90Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.94Q2 2026: $3.19Q3 2026: $3.23Forward: $5.79
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.79Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $-5.60Q1 2025: $-5.60Q2 2025: $-5.48Q3 2025: $-4.90Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $2.94Q2 2026: $3.19Q3 2026: $3.23Forward: $5.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.79+79%
Q3 2026$3.23+$8.13
Q2 2026$3.19+$8.67
Q1 2026$2.94+$8.54
Q4 2025$2.37+$7.97
Q3 2025-$4.90-580%
Q2 2025-$5.48-794%
Q1 2025-$5.60-1466%
Q4 2024-$5.60-18767%

BLKB has returned to profit: it earned $3.23 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over BLKB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLKB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $295MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $302MQ1 2025: $271MQ2 2025: $281MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $291MQ3 2026: $293M
Q4 2023: $295MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $302MQ1 2025: $271MQ2 2025: $281MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $291MQ3 2026: $293M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$292.6M+4.1%
Q2 2026$290.6M+3.3%
Q1 2026$281.1M+3.9%
Q4 2025$295.3M-2.3%
Q3 2025$281.1M-1.9%
Q2 2025$281.4M-2.1%
Q1 2025$270.7M-3.1%
Q4 2024$302.2M+2.4%

BLKB's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $293M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over BLKB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLKB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $700,000Q2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $139M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $700,000Q2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $139M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$138.5M+2%
Q2 2026$88.6M+34%
Q1 2026$49.8M+7013%
Q4 2025$55M-25%
Q3 2025$135.7M+32%
Q2 2025$66.3M+38%
Q1 2025$700K-99%
Q4 2024$73.4M+$77.2M

BLKB has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

BLKB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+77.3K shares
1 year-7.3%-3.5M shares
3 years-17%-9.1M shares
5 years-6.9%-3.3M shares
Available history-6.9%-3.4M shares

BLKB has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BLKB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20243.9xElevated
Q2 20244.4xHigh
Q1 20245.7xHigh
Q4 20234.9xHigh

BLKB's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over BLKB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLKB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.8Neutral
Stochastic79.9Neutral

BLKB's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BLKB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBLKBSector medianRelative
PE17x28x40% below
PE %163519 pts below

BLKB has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BLKB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.97.4% above
20 week MA$44.520% above
50 week MA$44.520% above
100 week MA$55.22.9% below
200 week MA$64.917% below

BLKB has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 17% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over BLKB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BLKB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$78.6$58.9-25%
2021$58.9$81.6+39%
2022$81.6$58.3-29%
2023$58.3$86.7+49%
2024$86.7$74.9-14%
2025$74.9$64.2-14%
2026 YTD$64.2$53.6-17%

BLKB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over BLKB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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