BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

WAL

Western Alliance Bancorporation

57
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

WAL has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

WAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WAL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WAL.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over WAL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.2x$65.13-12%
Forward7.2x$74.39—
Current8.2x$74.39—
Fair9.4x$84.88+14%
Expensive13x$118+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAL's PE is in its cheap range at 8.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

WAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WAL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails WAL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$98.72
Downside-16%$62.31

Calculated from the latest close: $74.39 on Nov 12.

WAL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

WAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.54Q1 2024: $6.86Q2 2024: $6.65Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $7.09Q1 2025: $7.28Q2 2025: $7.60Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $8.73Q1 2026: $8.59Q2 2026: $8.88Q3 2026: $9.05Forward: $10.33
Q4 2023: $6.54Q1 2024: $6.86Q2 2024: $6.65Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $7.09Q1 2025: $7.28Q2 2025: $7.60Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $8.73Q1 2026: $8.59Q2 2026: $8.88Q3 2026: $9.05Forward: $10.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.33+14%
Q3 2026$9.05+12%
Q2 2026$8.88+17%
Q1 2026$8.59+18%
Q4 2025$8.73+23%
Q3 2025$8.08+25%
Q2 2025$7.60+14%
Q1 2025$7.28+6.1%
Q4 2024$7.09+8.4%

WAL has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over WAL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $682MQ1 2024: $729MQ2 2024: $772MQ3 2024: $823MQ4 2024: $838MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $846MQ3 2025: $938MQ4 2025: $981MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $996MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $682MQ1 2024: $729MQ2 2024: $772MQ3 2024: $823MQ4 2024: $838MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $846MQ3 2025: $938MQ4 2025: $981MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $996MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+8.1%
Q2 2026$995.7M+18%
Q1 2026$1B+31%
Q4 2025$980.9M+17%
Q3 2025$938.2M+14%
Q2 2025$845.9M+9.6%
Q1 2025$778M+6.8%
Q4 2024$838.4M+23%

WAL's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over WAL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

WAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: −$307MQ2 2024: −$746MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: −$622MQ1 2025: −$1.7BQ2 2025: −$358MQ3 2025: −$597MQ4 2025: −$70MQ1 2026: −$507MQ2 2026: −$356MQ3 2026: $770M
Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: −$307MQ2 2024: −$746MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: −$622MQ1 2025: −$1.7BQ2 2025: −$358MQ3 2025: −$597MQ4 2025: −$70MQ1 2026: −$507MQ2 2026: −$356MQ3 2026: $770M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$769.9M+$1.4B
Q2 2026-$356.1M+$1.6M
Q1 2026-$507.2M+$1.1B
Q4 2025-$69.8M+$551.9M
Q3 2025-$597.4M+$470.6M
Q2 2025-$357.7M+$388.1M
Q1 2025-$1.7B-$1.3B
Q4 2024-$621.7M-282%

WAL's free cash flow was −$163M over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAL.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

WAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 110MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 110MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-200K shares
1 year-1.8%-2M shares
3 years-0.6%-700K shares
5 years+3.8%+3.9M shares
Available history+4.5%+4.7M shares

WAL has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over WAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.8xElevated
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20244.8xHigh

WAL's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAL.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

WAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic30.1Neutral

WAL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WAL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWALSector medianRelative
PE8.2x13x37% below
PE %266337 pts below

WAL has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over WAL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.61.7% below
20 week MA$78.75.5% below
50 week MA$80.57.6% below
100 week MA$80.37.4% below
200 week MA$70.16.2% above

WAL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 6.2% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over WAL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.0$59.9+5.1%
2021$59.9$105.7+76%
2022$105.7$58.1-45%
2023$58.1$65.8+13%
2024$65.8$83.7+27%
2025$83.7$86.6+3.4%
2026 YTD$86.6$74.4-14%

WAL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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