BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has a slight edge over PROV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

PROV

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.

50
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

PROV has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

PROV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PROV's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PROV.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

PROV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$11.99-34%
Forward13x$18.24—
Fair15x$15.03-18%
Expensive18x$18.75+2.8%
Current18x$18.24—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PROV has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

PROV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect PROV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails PROV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PROV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$20.48
Downside-8%$16.78

Calculated from the latest close: $18.24 on Nov 12.

PROV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over PROV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PROV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.13Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.09Q4 2024: $0.91Q1 2025: $0.97Q2 2025: $0.93Q3 2025: $0.90Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.35
Q4 2023: $1.13Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.09Q4 2024: $0.91Q1 2025: $0.97Q2 2025: $0.93Q3 2025: $0.90Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.35+32%
Q3 2026$1.03+14%
Q2 2026$1.03+11%
Q1 2026$0.92-5.2%
Q4 2025$0.99+8.8%
Q3 2025$0.90-17%
Q2 2025$0.93-12%
Q1 2025$0.97-4.9%
Q4 2024$0.91-19%

PROV earned $1.03 per share over the past year, up 14% from the year before.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over PROV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PROV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.6M+8.5%
Q2 2026$10.6M+8.5%
Q1 2026$9.9M-2.4%
Q4 2025$9.8M+2.5%
Q3 2025$9.7M+2.4%
Q2 2025$9.8M-1.6%
Q1 2025$10.1M+7.6%
Q4 2024$9.6M-0.5%

PROV's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $11M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

PROV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$442,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$850,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $307,000Q1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: −$442,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$850,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $307,000Q1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3M+74%
Q2 2026$3.3M+53%
Q1 2026$1.7M-47%
Q4 2025$1M+236%
Q3 2025$2.5M+2.7%
Q2 2025$2.2M+$3M
Q1 2025$3.3M+27%
Q4 2024$307K+$749K

PROV has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PROV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.9%-189K shares
1 year-5%-332K shares
3 years-10%-733K shares
5 years-17%-1.3M shares
Available history-18%-1.4M shares

PROV has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

PROV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.2xQ1 2024: -3.8xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -3.7xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -4.3xQ3 2025: -4.0xQ4 2025: -4.1xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -3.6xQ3 2026: -4.1x
Q4 2023: -3.2xQ1 2024: -3.8xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -3.7xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -4.3xQ3 2025: -4.0xQ4 2025: -4.1xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -3.6xQ3 2026: -4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.7xNet Cash

PROV has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

PROV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.0Neutral
Stochastic45.7Neutral

PROV's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PROV PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPROVSector medianRelative
PE18x13x36% above
PE %796316 pts above

PROV has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

PROV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.20% above
20 week MA$18.01.1% above
50 week MA$17.16.7% above
100 week MA$16.212% above
200 week MA$14.923% above

PROV's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 23% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

PROV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.0$15.8-28%
2021$15.8$16.7+5.7%
2022$16.7$13.8-17%
2023$13.8$12.6-8.4%
2024$12.6$15.9+26%
2025$15.9$16.1+1.1%
2026 YTD$16.1$18.2+13%

PROV has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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