BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has the edge over PAX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

PAX

Patria Investments Limited

43
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PAX offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

PAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PAX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PAX.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

PAX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.9x$9.18—
Cheap17x$7.80-15%
Current20x$9.18—
Fair23x$10.23+11%
Expensive29x$12.85+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAX has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

PAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAX's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails PAX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$11.18
Downside-16%$7.68

Calculated from the latest close: $9.18 on Nov 12.

PAX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over PAX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.80Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.77Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.45Forward: $1.33
Q3 2023: $0.80Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.77Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.45Forward: $1.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.33+196%
Q2 2026$0.45-18%
Q1 2026$0.470%
Q4 2025$0.54+10%
Q3 2025$0.69+60%
Q2 2025$0.55+1.9%
Q1 2025$0.47-39%
Q4 2024$0.49-38%
Q3 2024$0.43-46%

PAX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.45 over the past year, against $0.95 in mid-2021.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $111M
Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$111.3M+35%
Q1 2026$98.2M+23%
Q4 2025$134.4M-15%
Q3 2025$86.5M+11%
Q2 2025$82.5M+10%
Q1 2025$79.6M+25%
Q4 2024$157.2M+41%
Q3 2024$78.1M+23%

PAX's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $111M last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over PAX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $36M
Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$35.5M-51%
Q1 2026$28.4M-71%
Q4 2025$32.3M+40%
Q3 2025$52.1M-22%
Q2 2025$72.9M+879%
Q1 2025$97.8M+144%
Q4 2024$23.1M-29%
Q3 2024$67M+75%

PAX's free cash flow was $148M over the past year, down 43% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PAX.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over PAX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PAX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 148MQ4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 159MQ2 2026: 160M
Q3 2023: 148MQ4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 159MQ2 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+953K shares
1 year+0.9%+1.5M shares
3 years+7.7%+11.4M shares
5 years+19%+25.6M shares
Available history+36%+42.6M shares

PAX has 160M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago, despite $69M in buybacks over the past year.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over PAX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PAX Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy
Q3 20241.1xHealthy

PAX's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PAX.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

PAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.2Neutral
Stochastic8.1Oversold

PAX's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PAX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPAXSector medianRelative
PE20x13x57% above
PE %406222 pts below

PAX has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over PAX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.412% below
20 week MA$10.815% below
50 week MA$12.426% below
100 week MA$12.627% below
200 week MA$13.231% below

PAX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over PAX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.9$16.5-17%
2022$16.5$13.7-17%
2023$13.7$15.5+13%
2024$15.5$11.6-25%
2025$11.6$16.2+39%
2026 YTD$16.2$9.18-43%

PAX has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 43% so far in 2026.

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