BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MC

Moelis & Company

58
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MC has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

MC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MC.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over MC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE125x251x376x502x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE125x251x376x502x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$35.85-36%
Forward16x$56.01—
Current19x$56.01—
Fair20x$60.15+7.4%
Expensive38x$112+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MC's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

MC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails MC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$80.41
Downside-13%$48.79

Calculated from the latest close: $56.01 on Nov 12.

MC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

MC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.19Q2 2024: $0.15Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.54Q3 2025: $2.99Q4 2025: $2.94Q1 2026: $2.78Q2 2026: $2.87Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $3.55
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.19Q2 2024: $0.15Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.54Q3 2025: $2.99Q4 2025: $2.94Q1 2026: $2.78Q2 2026: $2.87Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $3.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.55+21%
Q3 2026$2.94-1.7%
Q2 2026$2.87+13%
Q1 2026$2.78+28%
Q4 2025$2.94+67%
Q3 2025$2.99+464%
Q2 2025$2.54+1593%
Q1 2025$2.18+$2.37
Q4 2024$1.76+$2.12

MC has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over MC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $365MQ3 2025: $357MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $409MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $365MQ3 2025: $357MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $409MQ3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$409.4M+12%
Q1 2026$319.8M+4.3%
Q4 2025$487.9M+11%
Q3 2025$356.9M+30%
Q2 2025$365.4M+38%
Q1 2025$306.6M+41%
Q4 2024$438.7M+104%
Q3 2024$273.8M+0.6%

MC's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $409M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

MC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: −$170MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: −$169MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $180MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: −$292MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $250M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: −$170MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: −$169MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $180MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: −$292MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $250M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$250.2M+39%
Q2 2026$218M+9.3%
Q1 2026-$291.6M-$123M
Q4 2025$329.6M+5.3%
Q3 2025$179.6M+33%
Q2 2025$199.4M+45%
Q1 2025-$168.6M+$1.8M
Q4 2024$313M+233%

MC has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.3%-994K shares
3 years+14%+9.3M shares
5 years+14%+9.8M shares
Available history+39%+21.7M shares

MC has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

MC Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MC has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

MC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic30.3Neutral

MC's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMCSector medianRelative
PE19x13x46% above
PE %446319 pts below

MC has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over MC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.61% below
20 week MA$62.610% below
50 week MA$64.513% below
100 week MA$65.314% below
200 week MA$59.05.1% below

MC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.1% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over MC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.8$47.2+44%
2021$47.2$62.4+32%
2022$62.4$39.0-37%
2023$39.0$56.1+44%
2024$56.1$74.5+33%
2025$74.5$71.6-3.9%
2026 YTD$71.6$56.0-22%

MC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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