BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

LITE has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

LITE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

LITE PE Valuation

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

LITE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails LITE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LITE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$1,197.24
Downside-45%$341.49

Calculated from the latest close: $624.65 on Nov 12.

LITE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LITE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.10—
Q3 2026-$89.47-5589%
Q2 2026-$92.96-25224%
Q1 2026$5.54+$12.02
Q4 2025$3.40+$11.12
Q3 2025$1.63+$9.94
Q2 2025$0.37+$8.49
Q1 2025-$6.48-$1.22
Q4 2024-$7.72-$3.77

LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

LITE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+137%
Q2 2026$1B+109%
Q1 2026$808.4M+90%
Q4 2025$665.5M+65%
Q3 2025$533.8M+58%
Q2 2025$480.7M+56%
Q1 2025$425.2M+16%
Q4 2024$402.2M+9.7%

LITE has the edge over BLK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

LITE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$56.2M
Q2 2026$196.2M+1843%
Q1 2026$79.1M+$143.5M
Q4 2025$43.1M+$59M
Q3 2025-$18.3M+$16.2M
Q2 2025$10.1M-7.3%
Q1 2025-$64.4M-$37.8M
Q4 2024-$15.9M+$16.6M

LITE has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LITE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.7%+5.5M shares
1 year+46%+32.1M shares
3 years+49%+33.4M shares
5 years+31%+24.2M shares
Available history+30%+23.7M shares

LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over LITE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LITE Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 202521.6xHigh
Q3 202522.7xHigh
Q2 202527.9xHigh
Q3 2023-34.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-7.2xNet Cash

LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

LITE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LITE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLITESector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over LITE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LITE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$839.326% below
20 week MA$838.626% below
50 week MA$732.715% below
100 week MA$422.748% above
200 week MA$237.9163% above

LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

LITE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$98.3+24%
2021$98.3$104.5+6.3%
2022$104.5$50.6-52%
2023$50.6$52.4+3.7%
2024$52.4$84.4+61%
2025$84.4$390.8+363%
2026 YTD$390.8$624.7+60%

LITE has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key