BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

JEF

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

JEF has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

JEF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

JEF's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JEF.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over JEF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JEF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$26.66-42%
Current11x$46.27—
Forward11x$46.27—
Fair13x$53.80+16%
Expensive26x$105+126%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JEF's PE is in its fair range at 11.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11.0x next year's earnings.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

JEF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect JEF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails JEF on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JEF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$61.43
Downside-21%$36.72

Calculated from the latest close: $46.27 on Nov 12.

JEF has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

JEF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.81Q3 2024: $2.34Q4 2024: $2.99Q1 2025: $2.90Q2 2025: $2.66Q3 2025: $2.92Q4 2025: $2.83Q1 2026: $2.96Q2 2026: $3.82Q3 2026: $4.07Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.81Q3 2024: $2.34Q4 2024: $2.99Q1 2025: $2.90Q2 2025: $2.66Q3 2025: $2.92Q4 2025: $2.83Q1 2026: $2.96Q2 2026: $3.82Q3 2026: $4.07Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21+3.3%
Q3 2026$4.07+39%
Q2 2026$3.82+44%
Q1 2026$2.96+2.1%
Q4 2025$2.83-5.4%
Q3 2025$2.92+25%
Q2 2025$2.66+47%
Q1 2025$2.90+138%
Q4 2024$2.99+172%

JEF has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over JEF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JEF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+8.5%
Q2 2026$2.2B+35%
Q1 2026$2B+27%
Q4 2025$2.1B+5.7%
Q3 2025$2B+22%
Q2 2025$1.6B-1.3%
Q1 2025$1.6B-8.4%
Q4 2024$2B+63%

JEF's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

JEF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$1.4BQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: −$706MQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: −$2.7BQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.8BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$1.4BQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: −$706MQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: −$2.7BQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.8BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+1917%
Q2 2026$1.6B+$2.6B
Q1 2026-$1.8B+$912.6M
Q4 2025$1.9B+16%
Q3 2025$126M+$831.9M
Q2 2025-$1B-3629%
Q1 2025-$2.7B-$1.4B
Q4 2024$1.6B+4531%

JEF has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over JEF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JEF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 225MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 222MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 222MQ3 2025: 223MQ4 2025: 223MQ1 2026: 223MQ2 2026: 203MQ3 2026: 230M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 225MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 222MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 222MQ3 2025: 223MQ4 2025: 223MQ1 2026: 223MQ2 2026: 203MQ3 2026: 230M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+26.3M shares
1 year+3.1%+6.9M shares
3 years-1%-2.4M shares
5 years-19%-54.2M shares
Available history-31%-101M shares

JEF has 230M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago, despite $440M in buybacks over the past year.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over JEF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JEF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 6.3xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 6.3xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20266.3xHigh
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20255.2xHigh
Q2 20255.3xHigh
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

JEF's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JEF.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

JEF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.6Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

JEF's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JEF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJEFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %436320 pts below

JEF has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over JEF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JEF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.90.8% above
20 week MA$50.58.3% below
50 week MA$52.111% below
100 week MA$55.717% below
200 week MA$49.87.1% below

JEF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 7.1% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over JEF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JEF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.2$22.6+12%
2021$22.6$36.9+63%
2022$36.9$33.4-9.6%
2023$33.4$40.4+21%
2024$40.4$78.9+95%
2025$78.9$63.9-19%
2026 YTD$63.9$46.3-28%

JEF has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

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