BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ICE has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

ICE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

ICE's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ICE.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

ICE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$178—
Cheap22x$165-7.5%
Current24x$178—
Fair28x$209+17%
Expensive37x$271+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ICE has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

ICE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ICE, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails ICE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ICE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$205.86
Downside-11%$157.81

Calculated from the latest close: $177.86 on Nov 12.

ICE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

ICE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.19Q1 2024: $4.35Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $4.21Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $5.21Q3 2025: $5.49Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $6.87Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $8.59
Q4 2023: $4.19Q1 2024: $4.35Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $4.21Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $5.21Q3 2025: $5.49Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $6.87Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $8.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.59+17%
Q3 2026$7.33+34%
Q2 2026$7.08+36%
Q1 2026$6.87+42%
Q4 2025$5.77+21%
Q3 2025$5.49+30%
Q2 2025$5.21+29%
Q1 2025$4.83+11%
Q4 2024$4.78+14%

ICE has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over ICE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ICE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.6B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.6B+21%
Q2 2026$3.6B+11%
Q1 2026$3.7B+14%
Q4 2025$3.1B+3.7%
Q3 2025$3B-0.9%
Q2 2025$3.3B+13%
Q1 2025$3.2B+15%
Q4 2024$3B+14%

ICE's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $3.6B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

ICE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $883MQ1 2024: $951MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $819MQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $881MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $853MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $883MQ1 2024: $951MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $819MQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $881MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $853MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+23%
Q2 2026$1.9B+28%
Q1 2026$1.3B+43%
Q4 2025$1.1B-15%
Q3 2025$853M+4.2%
Q2 2025$1.4B+29%
Q1 2025$881M-7.4%
Q4 2024$1.3B+49%

ICE has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ICE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 565MQ1 2024: 575MQ2 2024: 575MQ3 2024: 577MQ4 2024: 576MQ1 2025: 577MQ2 2025: 575MQ3 2025: 574MQ4 2025: 575MQ1 2026: 570MQ2 2026: 566MQ3 2026: 563M
Q4 2023: 565MQ1 2024: 575MQ2 2024: 575MQ3 2024: 577MQ4 2024: 576MQ1 2025: 577MQ2 2025: 575MQ3 2025: 574MQ4 2025: 575MQ1 2026: 570MQ2 2026: 566MQ3 2026: 563M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-3M shares
1 year-1.9%-11M shares
3 years-0.4%-2M shares
5 years-0.5%-3M shares
Available history-0.4%-2M shares

ICE has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over ICE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ICE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.0xElevated
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20244.0xElevated

ICE's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ICE.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

ICE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.5Neutral
Stochastic88.9Overbought

ICE's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ICE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricICESector medianRelative
PE24x13x86% above
PE %286335 pts below

ICE has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

ICE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.09.1% above
20 week MA$155.614% above
50 week MA$156.614% above
100 week MA$162.09.8% above
200 week MA$144.923% above

ICE is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over ICE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ICE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.0$112.7+21%
2021$112.7$135.8+21%
2022$135.8$102.8-24%
2023$102.8$128.4+25%
2024$128.4$150.3+17%
2025$150.3$163.5+8.8%
2026 YTD$163.5$177.9+8.8%

ICE has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 8.8% so far in 2026.

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