BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has a slight edge over HTH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

HTH

Hilltop Holdings Inc.

50
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

HTH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

HTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HTH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HTH.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over HTH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$15.72-56%
Fair14x$34.01-5.8%
Current15x$36.10—
Forward16x$36.10—
Expensive18x$43.63+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTH's PE is in its fair range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16x, in its expensive range.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

HTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HTH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails HTH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$42.02
Downside-13%$31.33

Calculated from the latest close: $36.10 on Nov 12.

HTH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

HTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $1.71Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.74Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.23Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.64Q2 2026: $2.70Q3 2026: $2.40Forward: $2.23
Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $1.71Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.74Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.23Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.64Q2 2026: $2.70Q3 2026: $2.40Forward: $2.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.23-7%
Q3 2026$2.40-4.4%
Q2 2026$2.70+21%
Q1 2026$2.64+34%
Q4 2025$2.65+52%
Q3 2025$2.51+54%
Q2 2025$2.23+28%
Q1 2025$1.97+15%
Q4 2024$1.74+3%

HTH has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over HTH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $305MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $301MQ2 2026: $316MQ3 2026: $310M
Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $305MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $301MQ2 2026: $316MQ3 2026: $310M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$309.5M-6.3%
Q2 2026$315.8M+4.1%
Q1 2026$300.5M-5.6%
Q4 2025$329.9M+9.6%
Q3 2025$330.2M+8.1%
Q2 2025$303.3M+2.1%
Q1 2025$318.5M+12%
Q4 2024$301.1M+3.7%

HTH's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $310M last quarter, down 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over HTH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$437MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$235MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$134MQ2 2026: −$163MQ3 2026: $504M
Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$437MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$235MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$134MQ2 2026: −$163MQ3 2026: $504M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$503.6M+86%
Q2 2026-$162.8M+$71.7M
Q1 2026-$133.9M-2757%
Q4 2025-$97M-180%
Q3 2025$271M-47%
Q2 2025-$234.6M+$202.7M
Q1 2025$5M-93%
Q4 2024$121.9M-53%

HTH's free cash flow was $110M over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTH.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 57M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-808K shares
1 year-8.1%-5M shares
3 years-12%-8M shares
5 years-29%-23.4M shares
Available history-38%-35.3M shares

HTH has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

HTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -6.3xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: -5.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -6.3xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: -5.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q4 20244.6xHigh

HTH has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

HTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

HTH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HTH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHTHSector medianRelative
PE15x13x16% above
PE %61632 pts below

HTH has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over HTH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.02.5% below
20 week MA$38.25.4% below
50 week MA$37.33.2% below
100 week MA$34.25.5% above
200 week MA$32.710% above

HTH has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 10% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over HTH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.6$27.3+11%
2021$27.3$34.7+27%
2022$34.7$29.7-14%
2023$29.7$35.2+19%
2024$35.2$28.9-18%
2025$28.9$34.6+20%
2026 YTD$34.6$36.1+4.3%

HTH has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.3% so far in 2026.

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