BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has a slight edge over FRME overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

FRME

First Merchants Corporation

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

FRME offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

FRME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FRME's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FRME.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

FRME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$28.35-31%
Forward9.7x$40.94—
Fair11x$35.18-14%
Expensive13x$41.89+2.3%
Current13x$40.94—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRME has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

FRME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRME, with profitability holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails FRME on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FRME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$49.15
Downside-15%$34.86

Calculated from the latest close: $40.94 on Nov 12.

FRME has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over FRME on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FRME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21+31%
Q3 2026$3.22-19%
Q2 2026$3.11-19%
Q1 2026$3.39-4.5%
Q4 2025$3.88+14%
Q3 2025$3.99+32%
Q2 2025$3.85+23%
Q1 2025$3.55+2.6%
Q4 2024$3.41-8.6%

FRME's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.22 over the past year, against $4.36 in mid-2023.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over FRME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FRME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$199.1M+20%
Q2 2026$196.1M+19%
Q1 2026$157.1M-2%
Q4 2025$172.2M-2.8%
Q3 2025$166.1M+6.5%
Q2 2025$164.3M+2.8%
Q1 2025$160.3M+4.3%
Q4 2024$177.1M+13%

FRME's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $199M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over FRME on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FRME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.4M-10%
Q2 2026$88M+64%
Q1 2026$58.6M-5%
Q4 2025$80.7M+20%
Q3 2025$87.6M+14%
Q2 2025$53.7M-15%
Q1 2025$61.7M+4.8%
Q4 2024$67.5M-22%

FRME's free cash flow was $306M over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over FRME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FRME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-163K shares
1 year+8.6%+5M shares
3 years+4.9%+2.9M shares
5 years+16%+8.5M shares
Available history+12%+6.9M shares

FRME has 62M diluted shares, up 8.6% from a year ago, despite $61M in buybacks over the past year.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over FRME on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FRME Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xElevated
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

FRME's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

FRME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic42.5Neutral

FRME's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FRME PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFRMESector medianRelative
PE13x13x2.4% below
PE %796316 pts above

FRME has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over FRME on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FRME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.31.6% above
20 week MA$41.71.8% below
50 week MA$40.41.3% above
100 week MA$39.73.2% above
200 week MA$36.911% above

FRME's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over FRME on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

FRME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.3$36.8-11%
2021$36.8$41.2+12%
2022$41.2$40.5-1.6%
2023$40.5$37.1-8.5%
2024$37.1$40.3+8.5%
2025$40.3$38.3-4.9%
2026 YTD$38.3$40.9+7%

FRME has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 7% so far in 2026.

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