BLK
BlackRock, Inc.
BLK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ERIE
Erie Indemnity Company
ERIE has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
BLK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.
ERIE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ERIE's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ERIE.
BLK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $848 | -30% |
| Fair | 22x | $973 | -20% |
| Expensive | 26x | $1,149 | -5.5% |
| Current | 28x | $1,217 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.
ERIE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 20x | $270 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $201 | -26% |
| Fair | 35x | $266 | -1.4% |
| Current | 36x | $270 | — |
| Expensive | 43x | $324 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ERIE has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BLK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.
ERIE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ERIE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BLK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.87 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $41.73 | -0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $39.73 | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.31 | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.42 | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $41.89 | +4% |
| Q1 2025 | $41.69 | +5.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.53 | +16% |
BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
ERIE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.23 | +76% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.51 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.98 | -8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.87 | -7.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.66 | -7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.37 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.96 | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.48 | +35% |
ERIE has the edge over BLK on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
BLK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.8B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $7B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.5B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.3B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +23% |
BLK has the edge over ERIE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 35% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 42% | +9.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | -8.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +2.3 points |
BLK has the edge over ERIE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ERIE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $951.2M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +7% |
| Q1 2025 | $989.4M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $924.1M | +13% |
ERIE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.1B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +2.6 points |
ERIE's operating margin was 19% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
BLK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | +$120M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.2B | -$734M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +35% |
| Q2 2024 | $1.4B | +47% |
BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.
ERIE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $185.4M | +0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $173.4M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.5M | -38% |
| Q4 2025 | $140.8M | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $184.4M | +7.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $157.3M | +52% |
| Q1 2025 | $88.4M | +37% |
| Q4 2024 | $146.8M | +15% |
ERIE has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BLK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -148K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -677K shares |
| 3 years | +9.3% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +6.2% | +9.6M shares |
| Available history | +4.4% | +7M shares |
BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $396M |
| Q1 2025 | $657M |
| Q4 2024 | $386M |
| Q2 2024 | $519M |
| Q1 2024 | $634M |
| Q4 2023 | $384M |
| Q3 2023 | $396M |
| Q2 2023 | $383M |
ERIE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -390K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -8.3K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -383K shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -6.1M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -6.1M shares |
ERIE has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
ERIE hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BLK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.
ERIE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
ERIE has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BLK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.0 | Neutral |
BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
ERIE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.4 | Neutral |
ERIE's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BLK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 113% above |
| PE % | 97 | 63 | 34 pts above |
BLK has the edge over ERIE on valuation relative to its sector.
ERIE PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ERIE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36x | 13x | 176% above |
| PE % | 52 | 63 | 11 pts below |
ERIE is trading at 36x earnings, a 176% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.
BLK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,128.0 | 7.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,108.9 | 9.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,071.6 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $1,051.1 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $914.1 | 33% above |
BLK has the edge over ERIE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ERIE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $246.0 | 9.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $247.1 | 9.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $251.3 | 7.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $307.6 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $321.0 | 16% below |
ERIE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 16% below its 200-week average.
BLK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $503.0 | $707.2 | +41% |
| 2021 | $707.2 | $913.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $913.9 | $703.9 | -23% |
| 2023 | $703.9 | $811.8 | +15% |
| 2024 | $811.8 | $1,044.2 | +29% |
| 2025 | $1,044.2 | $1,088.1 | +4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,088.1 | $1,216.6 | +12% |
BLK has the edge over ERIE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ERIE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $166.4 | $243.3 | +46% |
| 2021 | $243.3 | $190.2 | -22% |
| 2022 | $190.2 | $276.3 | +45% |
| 2023 | $276.3 | $334.9 | +21% |
| 2024 | $334.9 | $419.3 | +25% |
| 2025 | $419.3 | $282.4 | -33% |
| 2026 YTD | $282.4 | $270.0 | -4.4% |
ERIE has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.4% so far in 2026.