BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

COF

Capital One Financial Corporation

68
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

COF has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

COF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

COF's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COF.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over COF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

COF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.4x$96.85-50%
Forward8.4x$194—
Fair11x$195+0.7%
Current11x$194—
Expensive45x$817+322%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COF's PE is in its fair range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.4x next year's earnings.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

COF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for COF, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails COF on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

COF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$252.81
Downside-12%$170.67

Calculated from the latest close: $193.60 on Nov 12.

COF has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over COF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.95Q1 2024: $12.77Q2 2024: $10.63Q3 2024: $10.59Q4 2024: $11.59Q1 2025: $11.91Q2 2025: $1.95Q3 2025: $2.37Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $3.92Q2 2026: $17.23Q3 2026: $18.01Forward: $22.94
Q4 2023: $11.95Q1 2024: $12.77Q2 2024: $10.63Q3 2024: $10.59Q4 2024: $11.59Q1 2025: $11.91Q2 2025: $1.95Q3 2025: $2.37Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $3.92Q2 2026: $17.23Q3 2026: $18.01Forward: $22.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.94+27%
Q3 2026$18.01+660%
Q2 2026$17.23+784%
Q1 2026$3.92-67%
Q4 2025$4.03-65%
Q3 2025$2.37-78%
Q2 2025$1.95-82%
Q1 2025$11.91-6.7%
Q4 2024$11.59-3%

COF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $18.01 over the past year, against $26.94 in late 2021.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

COF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.5BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $10BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $12.5BQ3 2025: $15.4BQ4 2025: $15.6BQ1 2026: $15.2BQ2 2026: $15.8BQ3 2026: $16.3B
Q4 2023: $9.5BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $10BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $12.5BQ3 2025: $15.4BQ4 2025: $15.6BQ1 2026: $15.2BQ2 2026: $15.8BQ3 2026: $16.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.3B+6.4%
Q2 2026$15.9B+27%
Q1 2026$15.2B+52%
Q4 2025$15.6B+53%
Q3 2025$15.4B+53%
Q2 2025$12.5B+31%
Q1 2025$10B+6.4%
Q4 2024$10.2B+7.2%

COF has the edge over BLK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

COF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6.1BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $8.8BQ4 2025: $7.4BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $8.1BQ3 2026: $5.3B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6.1BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $8.8BQ4 2025: $7.4BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $8.1BQ3 2026: $5.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.3B-39%
Q2 2026$8.1B+43%
Q1 2026$5.5B+27%
Q4 2025$7.4B+253%
Q3 2025$8.8B+43%
Q2 2025$5.7B-4.8%
Q1 2025$4.3B+56%
Q4 2024$2.1B-69%

COF's free cash flow was $26.3B over the past year, up 26% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COF.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

COF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 383MQ1 2024: 383MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 506MQ3 2025: 640MQ4 2025: 541MQ1 2026: 623MQ2 2026: 621MQ3 2026: 610M
Q4 2023: 383MQ1 2024: 383MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 506MQ3 2025: 640MQ4 2025: 541MQ1 2026: 623MQ2 2026: 621MQ3 2026: 610M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-11.6M shares
1 year-4.7%-30M shares
3 years+59%+226M shares
5 years+38%+169M shares
Available history+30%+140M shares

COF has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over COF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 16.4xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 6.4xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 16.4xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 6.4xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20256.4xHigh
Q3 20257.7xHigh
Q2 202516.4xHigh
Q1 20254.1xHigh
Q4 20244.7xHigh

COF's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COF.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

COF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.9Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

COF's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %496314 pts below

COF has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over COF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$199.73.1% below
20 week MA$206.76.3% below
50 week MA$206.36.2% below
100 week MA$203.14.7% below
200 week MA$164.718% above

COF has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 18% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over COF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$103.0$97.3-5.5%
2021$97.3$145.1+49%
2022$145.1$90.7-37%
2023$90.7$131.1+45%
2024$131.1$180.2+37%
2025$180.2$249.3+38%
2026 YTD$249.3$193.6-22%

COF has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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