BLDR

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

20
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential85/ 100

BLDR trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over BLDR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BLDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

BLDR's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BLDR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x89x133x178x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x89x133x178x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$2.82-95%
Fair14x$5.19-91%
Expensive21x$7.90-87%
Forward23x$60.12—
Current158x$60.12—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLDR's PE is in its expensive range at 158x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 23x.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT has the edge over BLDR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Stable
Weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect BLDR's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over BLDR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BLDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$64.60
Downside-85%$9.00

Calculated from the latest close: $60.12 on Nov 12.

BLDR trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLDR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.94Q1 2024: $11.63Q2 2024: $11.34Q3 2024: $10.19Q4 2024: $9.06Q1 2025: $7.80Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $5.25Q4 2025: $3.89Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $0.38Forward: $2.62
Q4 2023: $11.94Q1 2024: $11.63Q2 2024: $11.34Q3 2024: $10.19Q4 2024: $9.06Q1 2025: $7.80Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $5.25Q4 2025: $3.89Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $0.38Forward: $2.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.62+590%
Q3 2026$0.38-93%
Q2 2026$0.92-86%
Q1 2026$2.62-66%
Q4 2025$3.89-57%
Q3 2025$5.25-48%
Q2 2025$6.59-42%
Q1 2025$7.80-33%
Q4 2024$9.06-24%

BLDR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.38 over the past year, against $16.82 in late 2022.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over BLDR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLDR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $3.9B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $3.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.9B-2.2%
Q2 2026$3.9B-8.8%
Q1 2026$3.3B-10%
Q4 2025$3.4B-12%
Q3 2025$3.9B-6.9%
Q2 2025$4.2B-5%
Q1 2025$3.7B-6%
Q4 2024$3.8B-8%

BLDR's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $3.9B last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over BLDR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLDR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $512MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $364MQ3 2024: $630MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $462MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $74M
Q4 2023: $512MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $364MQ3 2024: $630MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $462MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $74M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$73.9M-84%
Q2 2026$30M-88%
Q1 2026$40.7M+26%
Q4 2025$106.7M-61%
Q3 2025$461.9M-27%
Q2 2025$252.3M-31%
Q1 2025$32.4M-86%
Q4 2024$273.8M-47%

BLDR still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $251M over the past year.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over BLDR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLDR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 129MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 114MQ2 2025: 111MQ3 2025: 111MQ4 2025: 112MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 129MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 114MQ2 2025: 111MQ3 2025: 111MQ4 2025: 112MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+71K shares
1 year-3%-3.3M shares
3 years-14%-18.2M shares
5 years-48%-98M shares
Available history-8%-9.4M shares

BLDR has the edge over CAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has 461M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $8.1B in buybacks over the past year.

BLDR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 5.1x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.1xHigh
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20263.7xElevated
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

BLDR's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over BLDR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic48.0Neutral

BLDR's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BLDR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBLDRSector medianRelative
PE158x24x557% above
PE %995841 pts above

BLDR is trading at 158x earnings, a 557% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over BLDR on valuation relative to its sector.

BLDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.42.9% above
20 week MA$65.58.3% below
50 week MA$83.328% below
100 week MA$106.243% below
200 week MA$126.552% below

BLDR has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over BLDR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BLDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.5$42.3+66%
2021$42.3$82.2+94%
2022$82.2$65.3-21%
2023$65.3$166.9+156%
2024$166.9$145.1-13%
2025$145.1$104.0-28%
2026 YTD$104.0$60.1-42%

BLDR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over BLDR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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