BLBD

Blue Bird Corporation

65
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

BLBD has the edge over GME overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BLBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BLBD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BLBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.8x$55.45—
Cheap13x$103+85%
Forward13x$55.45—
Fair17x$138+150%
Expensive39x$320+476%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLBD has the edge over GME in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 38x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BLBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

BLBD has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

BLBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$73.45
Downside-24%$42.26

Calculated from the latest close: $55.45 on Nov 12.

BLBD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME trails BLBD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BLBD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.74Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $3.48Q3 2025: $3.88Q4 2025: $3.96Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $8.22Forward: $4.42
Q3 2023: $0.74Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $3.48Q3 2025: $3.88Q4 2025: $3.96Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $8.22Forward: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.42-46%
Q2 2026$8.22+136%
Q1 2026$4.07+27%
Q4 2025$3.96+23%
Q3 2025$3.88+23%
Q2 2025$3.48+15%
Q1 2025$3.21+30%
Q4 2024$3.21+69%
Q3 2024$3.16+327%

BLBD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $8.22 over the past year, up 136% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.54 over the past year, up 93% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

BLBD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $303MQ4 2023: $318MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $350MQ4 2024: $314MQ1 2025: $359MQ2 2025: $398MQ3 2025: $409MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: $353MQ2 2026: $517M
Q3 2023: $303MQ4 2023: $318MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $350MQ4 2024: $314MQ1 2025: $359MQ2 2025: $398MQ3 2025: $409MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: $353MQ2 2026: $517M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$517.2M+30%
Q1 2026$352.6M-1.7%
Q4 2025$333.1M+6.1%
Q3 2025$409.4M+17%
Q2 2025$398M+19%
Q1 2025$358.9M+3.7%
Q4 2024$313.9M-1.2%
Q3 2024$350.2M+16%

BLBD has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLBD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $34MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: $22M
Q3 2023: $34MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: $22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$21.7M-59%
Q1 2026$39.9M+113%
Q4 2025$31.1M+43%
Q3 2025$60.5M+20%
Q2 2025$52.3M+$55.8M
Q1 2025$18.7M-64%
Q4 2024$21.8M+$24.5M
Q3 2024$50.2M+49%

BLBD generated $153M in free cash flow over the past year, up 7% from the year before.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over BLBD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLBD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 35M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.4%+2.7M shares
1 year+7.9%+2.6M shares
3 years+7.8%+2.6M shares
5 years+28%+7.7M shares
Available history+30%+8.1M shares

BLBD has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

BLBD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.8xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: 0.8xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BLBD has more cash than debt.

GME Net Leverage

BLBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

BLBD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

BLBD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBLBDSector medianRelative
PE6.8x18x63% below
PE %04747 pts below

BLBD has the edge over GME on valuation relative to its sector.

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BLBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.92.6% below
20 week MA$63.913% below
50 week MA$61.29.4% below
100 week MA$52.75.1% above
200 week MA$42.132% above

BLBD has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 32% above its 200-week average.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME has the edge over BLBD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BLBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.0$19.1-17%
2021$19.1$14.7-23%
2022$14.7$9.97-32%
2023$9.97$27.0+170%
2024$27.0$39.4+46%
2025$39.4$50.7+29%
2026 YTD$50.7$55.5+9.3%

BLBD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 9.3% so far in 2026.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME has the edge over BLBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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