BL

BlackLine, Inc.

65
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

BL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over BL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

BL's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$28.48—
Cheap41x$26.87-5.7%
Current44x$28.48—
Fair68x$44.36+56%
Expensive95x$61.45+116%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BL has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

BL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BL has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

BL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$40.89
Downside-19%$23.14

Calculated from the latest close: $28.48 on Nov 12.

BL trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.81Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.42Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.65Forward: $2.66
Q4 2023: $0.81Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.42Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.65Forward: $2.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.66+310%
Q3 2026$0.65-41%
Q2 2026$0.56-57%
Q1 2024$1.18+$1.70
Q4 2023$0.81+$1.30
Q3 2023$0.64+$1.96
Q2 2023$0.11+$1.32
Q1 2023-$0.52+$0.95
Q4 2022-$0.49+$1.48

BL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.65 over the past year, against $1.29 in mid-2025.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over BL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: $157MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $169MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $188MQ3 2026: $193M
Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: $157MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $169MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $188MQ3 2026: $193M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$193.4M+8.5%
Q2 2026$187.8M+9.2%
Q1 2026$183.2M+9.7%
Q4 2025$183.2M+8.1%
Q3 2025$178.3M+7.5%
Q2 2025$172M+7.2%
Q1 2025$166.9M+6%
Q4 2024$169.5M+8.8%

BL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $193M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over BL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $64M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$64.5M+1.9%
Q2 2026$43.1M+37%
Q1 2026$44.2M+8.3%
Q4 2025$26.1M-39%
Q3 2025$63.3M+14%
Q2 2025$31.4M-22%
Q1 2025$40.8M-19%
Q4 2024$43M+7.2%

BL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

BL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 69MQ3 2026: 68M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 69MQ3 2026: 68M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-741K shares
1 year+7.3%+4.6M shares
3 years-5.5%-4M shares
5 years+16%+9.6M shares
Available history+23%+12.5M shares

BL has 68M diluted shares, up 7.3% from a year ago, despite $158M in buybacks over the past year.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over BL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.2xQ1 2024: -4.0xQ2 2024: -9.2xQ3 2024: -9.5xQ4 2024: -12.9xQ1 2025: -6.9xQ2 2025: -6.2xQ3 2025: -5.9xQ4 2025: -5.4xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.0xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q4 2023: -4.2xQ1 2024: -4.0xQ2 2024: -9.2xQ3 2024: -9.5xQ4 2024: -12.9xQ1 2025: -6.9xQ2 2025: -6.2xQ3 2025: -5.9xQ4 2025: -5.4xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.0xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-12.9xNet Cash

BL has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.8Neutral
Stochastic40.7Neutral

BL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBLSector medianRelative
PE44x28x57% above
PE %223513 pts below

BL is trading at 44x earnings, a 57% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over BL on valuation relative to its sector.

BL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.74.2% below
20 week MA$30.15.3% below
50 week MA$35.820% below
100 week MA$44.836% below
200 week MA$51.044% below

BL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 44% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over BL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.4$137.8+163%
2021$137.8$103.9-25%
2022$103.9$65.8-37%
2023$65.8$62.4-5.1%
2024$62.4$61.2-2%
2025$61.2$57.8-5.6%
2026 YTD$57.8$28.5-51%

BL has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 51% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over BL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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