BKSY

BlackSky Technology Inc.

57
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

BKSY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over BKSY overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

BKSY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

BKSY's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

BKSY PE Valuation

BKSY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

BKSY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BKSY has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

BKSY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+85%$43.03
Downside-45%$12.67

Calculated from the latest close: $23.24 on Nov 12.

BKSY trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKSY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BKSY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.20Q1 2024: $-2.96Q2 2024: $-1.52Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-3.86Q1 2025: $-3.40Q2 2025: $-4.19Q3 2025: $-3.97Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.55Q2 2026: $-1.82Q3 2026: $-1.28
Q4 2023: $-3.20Q1 2024: $-2.96Q2 2024: $-1.52Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-3.86Q1 2025: $-3.40Q2 2025: $-4.19Q3 2025: $-3.97Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.55Q2 2026: $-1.82Q3 2026: $-1.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.28+$2.69
Q2 2026-$1.82+$2.37
Q1 2026-$2.55+$0.85
Q4 2025-$2.15+$1.71
Q3 2025-$3.97-$1.79
Q2 2025-$4.19-$2.67
Q1 2025-$3.40-$0.44
Q4 2024-$3.86-$0.66

BKSY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.28 per share over the past year, against $7.86 at its worst in mid-2022.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over BKSY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BKSY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.8M+118%
Q2 2026$33.3M+50%
Q1 2026$20.8M-30%
Q4 2025$35.2M+16%
Q3 2025$19.6M-13%
Q2 2025$22.2M-11%
Q1 2025$29.5M+22%
Q4 2024$30.4M-14%

BKSY's revenue is growing: $43M last quarter, up 118% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over BKSY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKSY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$43MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: $67,000
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$43MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: $67,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67K+$42.9M
Q2 2026-$6.9M+$4M
Q1 2026-$6.2M-127%
Q4 2025-$13.6M-$8.4M
Q3 2025-$42.8M-$38.1M
Q2 2025-$10.9M-$5.8M
Q1 2025$22.8M+$29.9M
Q4 2024-$5.2M-$605K

BKSY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$27M over the past year, against −$36M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over BKSY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BKSY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+4.9M shares
1 year+23%+8.1M shares
3 years+152%+26.1M shares

BKSY has 43M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over BKSY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BKSY Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 253.9xQ3 2024: 29.7xQ3 2026: 71.3x
Q2 2024: 253.9xQ3 2024: 29.7xQ3 2026: 71.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202671.3xHigh
Q3 202429.7xHigh
Q2 2024253.9xHigh

BKSY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over BKSY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKSY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic28.8Neutral

BKSY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

BKSY PE vs Technology Sector

BKSY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BKSY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.414% above
20 week MA$22.91.6% above
50 week MA$26.111% below
100 week MA$20.712% above
200 week MA$15.649% above

BKSY has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

BKSY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$78.4$78.0-0.5%
2020$78.0$85.2+9.2%
2021$85.2$42.4-50%
2022$42.4$12.4-71%
2023$12.4$11.2-9.7%
2024$11.2$11.3+0.5%
2025$11.3$19.3+71%
2026 YTD$19.3$23.2+20%

BKSY has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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