BKSY

BlackSky Technology Inc.

57
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

BKSY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over BKSY overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

BKSY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

BKSY's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

BKSY PE Valuation

BKSY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

BKSY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BKSY's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

BKSY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+85%$43.03
Downside-45%$12.67

Calculated from the latest close: $23.24 on Nov 12.

BKSY trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKSY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BKSY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.20Q1 2024: $-2.96Q2 2024: $-1.52Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-3.86Q1 2025: $-3.40Q2 2025: $-4.19Q3 2025: $-3.97Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.55Q2 2026: $-1.82Q3 2026: $-1.28
Q4 2023: $-3.20Q1 2024: $-2.96Q2 2024: $-1.52Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-3.86Q1 2025: $-3.40Q2 2025: $-4.19Q3 2025: $-3.97Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.55Q2 2026: $-1.82Q3 2026: $-1.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.28+$2.69
Q2 2026-$1.82+$2.37
Q1 2026-$2.55+$0.85
Q4 2025-$2.15+$1.71
Q3 2025-$3.97-$1.79
Q2 2025-$4.19-$2.67
Q1 2025-$3.40-$0.44
Q4 2024-$3.86-$0.66

BKSY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.28 per share over the past year, against $7.86 at its worst in mid-2022.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over BKSY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BKSY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.8M+118%
Q2 2026$33.3M+50%
Q1 2026$20.8M-30%
Q4 2025$35.2M+16%
Q3 2025$19.6M-13%
Q2 2025$22.2M-11%
Q1 2025$29.5M+22%
Q4 2024$30.4M-14%

BKSY's revenue is growing: $43M last quarter, up 118% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over BKSY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKSY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$43MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: $67,000
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$43MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: $67,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67K+$42.9M
Q2 2026-$6.9M+$4M
Q1 2026-$6.2M-127%
Q4 2025-$13.6M-$8.4M
Q3 2025-$42.8M-$38.1M
Q2 2025-$10.9M-$5.8M
Q1 2025$22.8M+$29.9M
Q4 2024-$5.2M-$605K

BKSY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$27M over the past year, against −$36M the year before.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over BKSY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BKSY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+4.9M shares
1 year+23%+8.1M shares
3 years+152%+26.1M shares

BKSY has 43M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has the edge over BKSY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BKSY Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 253.9xQ3 2024: 29.7xQ3 2026: 71.3x
Q2 2024: 253.9xQ3 2024: 29.7xQ3 2026: 71.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202671.3xHigh
Q3 202429.7xHigh
Q2 2024253.9xHigh

BKSY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has the edge over BKSY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKSY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic28.8Neutral

BKSY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

BKSY PE vs Technology Sector

BKSY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU is trading at 11x earnings, a 61% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BKSY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.414% above
20 week MA$22.91.6% above
50 week MA$26.111% below
100 week MA$20.712% above
200 week MA$15.649% above

BKSY has the edge over MU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 225% above its 200-week average.

BKSY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$78.4$78.0-0.5%
2020$78.0$85.2+9.2%
2021$85.2$42.4-50%
2022$42.4$12.4-71%
2023$12.4$11.2-9.7%
2024$11.2$11.3+0.5%
2025$11.3$19.3+71%
2026 YTD$19.3$23.2+20%

BKSY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over BKSY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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